مدرسة الاحتمالات

Bolton Wanderers v Luton

البداية: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Bolton Wanderers 2–3 Luton

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Bolton Wanderers (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.03%2.38السعر العادل
EV -2.06%
الأفضلية -0.883%
Kelly -1.55%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.01%42.09%41.87%43.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.232.242.3348.78%44.88%44.64%42.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Luton (الضيف)

التنبؤ 34.75%2.88السعر العادل
EV -3.39%
الأفضلية -1.22%
Kelly -1.90%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.78

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.79%34.74%34.85%36.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.652.652.7840.00%37.73%37.74%35.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.21%4.31السعر العادل
EV +2.14%
الأفضلية +0.486%
Kelly +0.629%
النمو +0.013%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.31%23.17%23.28%26.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.983.954.4030.30%25.13%25.32%22.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.62%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.14%E +0.486%K +0.629%G +0.013%6.6%2026-05-02 13:45
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 42.88%EV -6.68%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.13%EV -5.82%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV +0.514%E +0.119%K +0.154%G +0.001%5.0%2026-05-02 13:50
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -8.78%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.81%EV -6.87%E -2.56%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.31%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.53%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:46
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.31%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.53%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:45
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.67%EV -10.89%E -5.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.50%E -0.596%K -0.783%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:50
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -6.68%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.14%EV -7.21%E -2.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -3.66%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.99%EV -10.89%E -5.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -3.39%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -3.66%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.99%EV -10.89%E -5.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -3.39%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -3.66%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.09%EV -5.84%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.99%EV -4.83%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:55
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.09%EV -5.84%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.92%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.99%EV -4.83%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.53%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.83%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 13:25
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 12:25
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 12:20
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:53
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:55
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:50
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.95%E -3.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:23
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.87%EV -13.83%E -6.75%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -13.12%E -5.25%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -7.15%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-02 13:50
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -2.06%E -0.883%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.31%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:35
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -2.06%E -0.883%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.31%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:35
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -2.06%E -0.883%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.31%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:35
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:25
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:25
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:25
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:40
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.00%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 12:25
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:35
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.70%EV -8.78%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 12:25
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:20
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:25
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:35
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.07%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.79%EV -8.60%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.14%EV -23.40%E -7.09%K -10.17%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-02 13:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.77%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.55%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%1.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.87%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.87%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-02 13:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.87%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-02 13:56