預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Swansea City v Birmingham City

開賽時間: 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

最終賽果: Swansea City 0–1 Birmingham City

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

48 家博彩公司 (16 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Swansea City (主隊)

預測 32.54%3.07公平賠率
EV -3.99%
優勢 -1.35%
Kelly -2.05%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.95

博彩公司預測分布
31.74%32.55%32.55%33.56%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.702.822.852.9537.04%35.40%35.09%33.90%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Birmingham City (客隊)

預測 39.83%2.51公平賠率
EV -2.81%
優勢 -1.15%
Kelly -1.95%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.44

博彩公司預測分布
38.30%39.80%39.80%40.81%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.202.322.332.4445.45%43.15%43.01%40.98%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 27.62%3.62公平賠率
EV -2.49%
優勢 -0.704%
Kelly -0.982%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.53

博彩公司預測分布
26.46%27.66%27.65%28.53%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.103.343.353.5332.26%29.96%29.85%28.33%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Swansea City (主隊):32.54%;Birmingham City (客隊):39.83%;和局:27.62%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於3.62的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為3.53,期望值為-2.49%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (48 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -3.99%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 13:44
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -3.99%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 02:40
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -5.20%E -2.19%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 13:49
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -5.20%E -2.19%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 06:35
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 07:45
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 02:40
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 02:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 07:45
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-06 11:30
Pinnacle🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.11%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.08%EV -2.81%E -1.15%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.80%EV -5.25%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 13:50
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -7.59%E -3.27%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.59%EV -6.92%E -2.42%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.00%EV -4.80%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -9.39%E -2.86%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 11:05
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:50
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:50
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:49
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:49
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:50
theScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:45
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 13:39
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.12%EV -8.22%E -2.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.43%EV -7.99%E -3.46%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.46%EV -2.49%E -0.704%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:49
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 13:34
Fliff🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 33.01%EV -10.18%E -3.69%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 39.79%EV -8.79%E -3.84%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 33.01%EV -10.18%E -3.69%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 39.79%EV -8.79%E -3.84%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:50
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:45
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 13:50
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 13:49
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:44
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 13:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -11.18%E -5.01%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -11.18%E -5.01%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -11.18%E -5.01%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:50
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-08 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-08 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-08 13:55
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-08 13:55