Langue:Français
Swansea City v Birmingham City
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Swansea City (Local)
Prévision 32.54%3.07cote équitable
EV -3.99%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -2.05%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.74%32.55%32.55%33.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.822.852.9537.04%35.40%35.09%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Birmingham City (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.83%2.51cote équitable
EV -2.81%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -1.95%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.44
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.30%39.80%39.80%40.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.322.332.4445.45%43.15%43.01%40.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.62%3.62cote équitable
EV -2.49%
Avantage -0.704%
Kelly -0.982%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.46%27.66%27.65%28.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.343.353.5332.26%29.96%29.85%28.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Swansea City (Local) : 32.54% ; Birmingham City (Visiteur) : 39.83% ; Match nul : 27.62%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.62. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.53, pour une espérance de -2.49% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -3.99%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -3.99%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 02:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -5.20%E -2.19%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -5.20%E -2.19%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 06:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 07:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 02:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 02:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 07:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-06 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.11%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.08%EV -2.81%E -1.15%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.80%EV -5.25%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -7.59%E -3.27%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.59%EV -6.92%E -2.42%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.00%EV -4.80%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -9.39%E -2.86%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 11:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.12%EV -8.22%E -2.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.43%EV -7.99%E -3.46%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.46%EV -2.49%E -0.704%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.01%EV -10.18%E -3.69%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.79%EV -8.79%E -3.84%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.01%EV -10.18%E -3.69%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.79%EV -8.79%E -3.84%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -11.18%E -5.01%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -11.18%E -5.01%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -11.18%E -5.01%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |