语言:简体中文
Swansea City v Birmingham City
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Swansea City (主队)
预测 32.54%3.07公平赔率
EV -3.99%
优势 -1.35%
Kelly -2.05%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.95
博彩公司预测分布
31.74%32.55%32.55%33.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.822.852.9537.04%35.40%35.09%33.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
Birmingham City (客队)
预测 39.83%2.51公平赔率
EV -2.81%
优势 -1.15%
Kelly -1.95%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.44
博彩公司预测分布
38.30%39.80%39.80%40.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.322.332.4445.45%43.15%43.01%40.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 27.62%3.62公平赔率
EV -2.49%
优势 -0.704%
Kelly -0.982%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.53
博彩公司预测分布
26.46%27.66%27.65%28.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.343.353.5332.26%29.96%29.85%28.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Swansea City (主队)：32.54%；Birmingham City (客队)：39.83%；平局：27.62%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.62。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.53，期望值为-2.49%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -3.99%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -3.99%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 02:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -5.20%E -2.19%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -5.20%E -2.19%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 06:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 07:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 02:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 02:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 07:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-06 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.11%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.08%EV -2.81%E -1.15%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.80%EV -5.25%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -7.59%E -3.27%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.59%EV -6.92%E -2.42%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.00%EV -4.80%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -9.39%E -2.86%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 11:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.12%EV -8.22%E -2.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.43%EV -7.99%E -3.46%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.46%EV -2.49%E -0.704%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.01%EV -10.18%E -3.69%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.79%EV -8.79%E -3.84%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.01%EV -10.18%E -3.69%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.79%EV -8.79%E -3.84%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -11.18%E -5.01%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -11.18%E -5.01%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -11.18%E -5.01%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |