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Swansea City v Birmingham City
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Swansea City (Хозяева)
Прогноз 32.54%3.07справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.99%
Преимущество -1.35%
Kelly -2.05%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.95
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.74%32.55%32.55%33.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.702.822.852.9537.04%35.40%35.09%33.90%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Birmingham City (Гости)
Прогноз 39.83%2.51справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.81%
Преимущество -1.15%
Kelly -1.95%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.44
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
38.30%39.80%39.80%40.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.202.322.332.4445.45%43.15%43.01%40.98%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 27.62%3.62справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.49%
Преимущество -0.704%
Kelly -0.982%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.53
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.46%27.66%27.65%28.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.343.353.5332.26%29.96%29.85%28.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Swansea City (Хозяева): 32.54%; Birmingham City (Гости): 39.83%; Ничья: 27.62%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.62. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.53, математическое ожидание — -2.49%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -3.99%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -3.99%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 02:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -5.20%E -2.19%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -5.20%E -2.19%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 06:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 07:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 02:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 02:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 07:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-06 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.11%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.08%EV -2.81%E -1.15%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.80%EV -5.25%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -7.59%E -3.27%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.59%EV -6.92%E -2.42%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.00%EV -4.80%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -9.39%E -2.86%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 11:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.12%EV -8.22%E -2.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.43%EV -7.99%E -3.46%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.46%EV -2.49%E -0.704%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.01%EV -10.18%E -3.69%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.79%EV -8.79%E -3.84%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.01%EV -10.18%E -3.69%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.79%EV -8.79%E -3.84%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -11.18%E -5.01%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -11.18%E -5.01%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -11.18%E -5.01%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |