La escuela de los momios

Swansea City v Birmingham City

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Swansea City (Local)

Predicción 31.34%3.19momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -0.914%
Kelly -1.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.60%31.28%31.32%32.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.872.903.1037.74%34.86%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Birmingham City (Visitante)

Predicción 41.17%2.43momio equitativo
EV -3.25%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -2.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.45%41.12%41.19%42.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.232.232.3548.78%44.75%44.84%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.48%3.64momio equitativo
EV -3.81%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.66%27.60%27.49%29.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.333.353.5032.26%30.04%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -2.83%E -0.914%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 14:29
Pinnacle3.03I 33.00%NM 30.95%EV -5.03%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.31%EV -6.54%E -2.88%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.74%EV -7.10%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 14:30
1xBet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.00%EV -5.34%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.06%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 14:30
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -5.34%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.27%EV -6.95%E -3.08%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 14:30
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 19:19
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 02:39
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 21:55
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 14:30
LowVig.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 30.22%EV -6.59%E -2.21%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.48%EV -12.72%E -6.00%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-21 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 30.22%EV -6.59%E -2.21%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.48%EV -12.72%E -6.00%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-21 14:30
SportsBet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.53%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 09:14
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.53%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 09:14
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -9.10%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-23 05:59
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.10%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-10 09:13
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.10%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-10 09:15
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.10%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-22 10:54
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.10%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-23 14:32
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.10%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-21 14:30
betano_uk2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.10%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 14:29
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.10%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 14:30
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.10%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -14.80%E -4.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-21 14:30
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.10%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -14.80%E -4.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-21 14:30
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.10%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -14.80%E -4.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-21 14:30
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -11.48%E -5.34%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-21 19:20
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 14:35
NetBet (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 31.53%EV -13.18%E -4.76%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -13.54%E -6.45%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-25 07:00
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-16 14:05
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -15.37%E -5.69%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.26%EV -13.54%E -6.45%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.66%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-22 15:39
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 31.77%EV -16.94%E -6.39%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.07%EV -15.60%E -7.61%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.16%EV -14.80%E -4.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-22 15:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%6.7%2026-07-26 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%6.7%2026-07-26 03:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 36.04%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.92%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.04%14.7%2026-07-26 03:15