Idioma:Español
Swansea City v Birmingham City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Swansea City (Local)
Predicción 32.54%3.07momio equitativo
EV -3.99%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -2.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.74%32.55%32.55%33.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.822.852.9537.04%35.40%35.09%33.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Birmingham City (Visitante)
Predicción 39.83%2.51momio equitativo
EV -2.81%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -1.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.30%39.80%39.80%40.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.322.332.4445.45%43.15%43.01%40.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.62%3.62momio equitativo
EV -2.49%
Ventaja -0.704%
Kelly -0.982%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.46%27.66%27.65%28.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.343.353.5332.26%29.96%29.85%28.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Swansea City (Local): 32.54%; Birmingham City (Visitante): 39.83%; Empate: 27.62%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.62. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.53, con un valor esperado de -2.49%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -3.99%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -3.99%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 02:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -5.20%E -2.19%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -5.20%E -2.19%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 06:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 07:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 02:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 02:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 07:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-06 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.11%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.08%EV -2.81%E -1.15%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.80%EV -5.25%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -7.59%E -3.27%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.59%EV -6.92%E -2.42%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.00%EV -4.80%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -9.39%E -2.86%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 11:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.12%EV -8.22%E -2.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.43%EV -7.99%E -3.46%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.46%EV -2.49%E -0.704%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.01%EV -10.18%E -3.69%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.79%EV -8.79%E -3.84%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.01%EV -10.18%E -3.69%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.79%EV -8.79%E -3.84%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -11.18%E -5.01%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -11.18%E -5.01%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -11.18%E -5.01%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |