StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Swansea City v Birmingham City

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

Endstand: Swansea City 0–1 Birmingham City

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

48 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Swansea City (Heim)

Prognose 32.54%3.07faire Quote
EV -3.99%
Vorteil -1.35%
Kelly -2.05%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.95

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
31.74%32.55%32.55%33.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.702.822.852.9537.04%35.40%35.09%33.90%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Birmingham City (Auswärts)

Prognose 39.83%2.51faire Quote
EV -2.81%
Vorteil -1.15%
Kelly -1.95%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.44

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.30%39.80%39.80%40.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.202.322.332.4445.45%43.15%43.01%40.98%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.62%3.62faire Quote
EV -2.49%
Vorteil -0.704%
Kelly -0.982%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.53

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.46%27.66%27.65%28.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.103.343.353.5332.26%29.96%29.85%28.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Swansea City (Heim): 32.54%; Birmingham City (Auswärts): 39.83%; Unentschieden: 27.62%. Für Unentschieden entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.62. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 3.53, bei einem Erwartungswert von -2.49%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (48 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -3.99%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 13:44
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -3.99%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 02:40
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -5.20%E -2.19%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 13:49
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -5.20%E -2.19%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 06:35
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 07:45
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 02:40
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 02:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 07:45
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-06 11:30
Pinnacle🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.11%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.08%EV -2.81%E -1.15%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.80%EV -5.25%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 13:50
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -7.59%E -3.27%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.59%EV -6.92%E -2.42%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.00%EV -4.80%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -9.39%E -2.86%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 11:05
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:50
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:50
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:49
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:49
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:50
theScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:45
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 13:39
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.12%EV -8.22%E -2.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.43%EV -7.99%E -3.46%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.46%EV -2.49%E -0.704%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:49
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 13:34
Fliff🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 33.01%EV -10.18%E -3.69%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 39.79%EV -8.79%E -3.84%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 33.01%EV -10.18%E -3.69%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 39.79%EV -8.79%E -3.84%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:50
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:45
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 13:50
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 13:49
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:44
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 13:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -11.18%E -5.01%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -11.18%E -5.01%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -11.18%E -5.01%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-08 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-08 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-08 13:55
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-08 13:55