StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Swansea City v Birmingham City

Matchstart: 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Swansea City 0–1 Birmingham City

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Swansea City (Hemma)

Prognos 32.54%3.07rättvist odds
EV -3.99%
Fördel -1.35%
Kelly -2.05%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.74%32.55%32.55%33.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.702.822.852.9537.04%35.40%35.09%33.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Birmingham City (Borta)

Prognos 39.83%2.51rättvist odds
EV -2.81%
Fördel -1.15%
Kelly -1.95%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.44

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.30%39.80%39.80%40.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.202.322.332.4445.45%43.15%43.01%40.98%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.62%3.62rättvist odds
EV -2.49%
Fördel -0.704%
Kelly -0.982%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.53

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.46%27.66%27.65%28.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.343.353.5332.26%29.96%29.85%28.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Swansea City (Hemma): 32.54%; Birmingham City (Borta): 39.83%; Oavgjort: 27.62%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.62. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.53, med väntevärdet -2.49%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -3.99%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 13:44
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -3.99%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 02:40
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -5.20%E -2.19%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 13:49
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -5.20%E -2.19%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 06:35
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 07:45
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 02:40
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 02:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 07:45
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-06 11:30
Pinnacle🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.11%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.08%EV -2.81%E -1.15%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.80%EV -5.25%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 13:50
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -7.59%E -3.27%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.59%EV -6.92%E -2.42%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.00%EV -4.80%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -9.39%E -2.86%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 11:05
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:50
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:50
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:49
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:49
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:50
theScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:45
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 13:39
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.12%EV -8.22%E -2.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.43%EV -7.99%E -3.46%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.46%EV -2.49%E -0.704%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:49
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 13:34
Fliff🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 33.01%EV -10.18%E -3.69%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 39.79%EV -8.79%E -3.84%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 33.01%EV -10.18%E -3.69%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 39.79%EV -8.79%E -3.84%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:50
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:45
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 13:50
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 13:49
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:44
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 13:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -11.18%E -5.01%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -11.18%E -5.01%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -12.13%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -11.18%E -5.01%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-08 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-08 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-08 13:55
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-08 13:55