语言:简体中文
Millwall v Newcastle United
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Millwall (主队)
预测 11.55%8.66公平赔率
EV +15.50%
优势 +1.55%
Kelly +1.72%
增长率 +0.267%
假设最高赔率为 10.00
博彩公司预测分布
9.65%11.57%11.52%13.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.758.268.2510.0014.81%12.10%12.12%10.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
Newcastle United (客队)
预测 70.53%1.42公平赔率
EV -4.08%
优势 -3.00%
Kelly -11.34%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.36
博彩公司预测分布
66.79%70.35%70.54%74.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.231.311.301.3681.30%76.48%76.92%73.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 17.92%5.58公平赔率
EV +7.53%
优势 +1.25%
Kelly +1.51%
增长率 +0.113%
假设最高赔率为 6.00
博彩公司预测分布
16.09%18.08%17.95%19.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.605.255.266.0021.74%19.05%19.01%16.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Millwall (主队)：11.55%；Newcastle United (客队)：70.53%；平局：17.92%。 对于“Millwall (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.66。 当时有17家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为10.00，对应+15.50%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.65%EV +15.50%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%EV +7.53%E +1.25%K +1.51%G +0.113% | 3.6% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.65%EV +15.50%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%EV +7.53%E +1.25%K +1.51%G +0.113% | 3.6% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.70%EV +12.04%E +1.24%K +1.38%G +0.167% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.71%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +9.73%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.111% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +9.73%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.111% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 18:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.12%EV +7.42%E +0.798%K +0.894%G +0.066% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.26%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.70%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.31%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.99%EV -4.12%E -0.770%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +0.361%E +0.064%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +0.361%E +0.064%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +0.361%E +0.064%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 18:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +0.361%E +0.064%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +0.361%E +0.064%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +0.361%E +0.064%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.03%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.97%EV +1.64%E +0.187%K +0.211%G +0.003% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.98%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.04%EV -4.12%E -0.770%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.82%EV +1.06%E +0.122%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.16%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -5.91%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 18:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.76%EV +1.06%E +0.122%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.31%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -5.91%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.58I 11.66%NM 11.16%EV -0.899%E -0.105%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.94%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.90%EV -4.12%E -0.770%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -1.82%E -0.214%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.91%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -1.82%E -0.214%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.39%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -1.82%E -0.214%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.22%EV -10.43%E -8.21%K -38.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -3.22%E -0.597%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -1.82%E -0.214%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.22%EV -10.43%E -8.21%K -38.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -3.22%E -0.597%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -1.82%E -0.214%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -17.56%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.46%EV -4.13%E -0.498%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.08%EV -5.73%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.46%EV -4.13%E -0.498%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.08%EV -5.73%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.36%EV -4.71%E -0.571%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.68%EV -5.02%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 18:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.86%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -7.61%E -5.81%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.02%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 18:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.80%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.93%EV -13.25%E -10.77%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.01%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.93%EV -13.25%E -10.77%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.01%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.93%EV -13.25%E -10.77%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.01%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -10.49%E -1.35%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.22%E -0.597%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -10.49%E -1.35%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.22%E -0.597%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -14.87%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-08 18:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.61%E -5.81%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -10.39%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.54%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.33%EV -5.91%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -10.39%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -10.39%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-08 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.94%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.41%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.65%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.67%EV -16.26%E -2.24%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.64%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.39%EV -16.26%E -2.24%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.64%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.97%EV -10.39%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -19.15%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -19.15%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.04%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.05%EV -5.02%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -19.15%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -22.04%E -3.26%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -17.56%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 18:29 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.15% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.09% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.76% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.34% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.93% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73% | 0.7% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.34% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.93% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73% | 0.7% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.34% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.93% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73% | 0.7% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |