Idioma:Español
Millwall v Newcastle United
Resultado del partido
Millwall (Local)
Predicción 17.83%5.61momio equitativo
EV +0.753%
Ventaja +0.133%
Kelly +0.162%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.55%18.00%17.98%20.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.925.005.6523.81%20.33%20.00%17.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Newcastle United (Visitante)
Predicción 59.18%1.69momio equitativo
EV -0.578%
Ventaja -0.344%
Kelly -0.849%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.15%58.96%59.12%60.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.481.601.601.6867.57%62.43%62.50%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.99%4.35momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.268%
Kelly -0.350%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.38%23.03%22.90%24.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.933.904.3027.78%25.43%25.64%23.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Millwall (Local): 17.83%; Newcastle United (Visitante): 59.18%; Empate: 22.99%. Para Millwall (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 5.61. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 5.65, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.753%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.04%EV +0.753%E +0.133%K +0.162%G +0.001% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.56%EV -5.90%E -3.71%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39%EV -1.15%E -0.268%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-03 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -0.139%E -0.025%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.79%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.38%EV -3.22%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56%EV -1.92%E -0.349%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.98%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%EV -1.15%E -0.268%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.92%E -0.349%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.09%E -4.51%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -14.95%E -4.04%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.92%E -0.349%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.23%E -7.49%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -3.71%E -0.686%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.43%EV -6.50%E -4.11%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -6.90%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -3.71%E -0.686%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.43%EV -6.50%E -4.11%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -6.90%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -6.38%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -6.38%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.00%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.38%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.38%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -9.05%E -1.78%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -5.90%E -3.71%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 19:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 19:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.09%E -4.51%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-03 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.45%E -6.18%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.45%E -6.18%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.45%E -6.18%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.16%EV -14.40%E -3.00%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.90%EV -12.41%E -8.39%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-03 19:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -15.30%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 19:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -15.30%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 19:03 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 16:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 16:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 16:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 17:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -19.75%E -4.39%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.80%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-03 17:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -21.54%E -4.89%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-03 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -21.54%E -4.89%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-03 16:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -21.54%E -4.89%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-03 16:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -22.79%E -5.26%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.91%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-09-03 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -23.32%E -5.42%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.74%EV -6.50%E -4.11%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-03 13:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.97%EV -25.10%E -5.98%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.45%EV -7.68%E -4.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-03 13:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.