StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Millwall v Newcastle United

Matchstart: 2026-09-08 19:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Millwall 0–1 Newcastle United

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Millwall (Hemma)

Prognos 11.55%8.66rättvist odds
EV +15.50%
Fördel +1.55%
Kelly +1.72%
Tillväxt +0.267%

med antagandet om högsta odds 10.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
9.65%11.57%11.52%13.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
6.758.268.2510.0014.81%12.10%12.12%10.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Newcastle United (Borta)

Prognos 70.53%1.42rättvist odds
EV -4.08%
Fördel -3.00%
Kelly -11.34%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.36

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
66.79%70.35%70.54%74.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.231.311.301.3681.30%76.48%76.92%73.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 17.92%5.58rättvist odds
EV +7.53%
Fördel +1.25%
Kelly +1.51%
Tillväxt +0.113%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.09%18.08%17.95%19.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.605.255.266.0021.74%19.05%19.01%16.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Millwall (Hemma): 11.55%; Newcastle United (Borta): 70.53%; Oavgjort: 17.92%. För Millwall (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 8.66. 17 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 10.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +15.50%.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Svenska Spel🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.65%EV +15.50%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%EV +7.53%E +1.25%K +1.51%G +0.113%3.6%2026-09-08 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.65%EV +15.50%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%EV +7.53%E +1.25%K +1.51%G +0.113%3.6%2026-09-08 18:55
Betsson🎯9.70I 10.31%NM 9.70%EV +12.04%E +1.24%K +1.38%G +0.167%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.71%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 18:55
betano_uk🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +9.73%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.111%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 18:50
Bet Victor🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +9.73%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.111%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 18:54
NordicBet🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 10.12%EV +7.42%E +0.798%K +0.894%G +0.066%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.26%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.70%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.31%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.99%EV -4.12%E -0.770%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 18:50
betPARX🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +0.361%E +0.064%K +0.078%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 18:54
Unibet (NL)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +0.361%E +0.064%K +0.078%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +0.361%E +0.064%K +0.078%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 18:54
Grosvenor🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +0.361%E +0.064%K +0.078%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 18:55
Casumo🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +0.361%E +0.064%K +0.078%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 18:55
Unibet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +0.361%E +0.064%K +0.078%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 18:55
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.03%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 18:50
1xBet🎯8.80I 11.36%NM 10.97%EV +1.64%E +0.187%K +0.211%G +0.003%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.98%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.04%EV -4.12%E -0.770%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 18:55
Coolbet🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.82%EV +1.06%E +0.122%K +0.137%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.16%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -5.91%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 18:54
Betr (AU)🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.76%EV +1.06%E +0.122%K +0.137%G +0.001%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.31%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -5.91%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 18:50
Pinnacle🎯8.58I 11.66%NM 11.16%EV -0.899%E -0.105%K -0.119%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.94%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.90%EV -4.12%E -0.770%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -1.82%E -0.214%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.91%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -1.82%E -0.214%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.39%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -1.82%E -0.214%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.22%EV -10.43%E -8.21%K -38.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -3.22%E -0.597%K -0.733%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 18:55
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -1.82%E -0.214%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.22%EV -10.43%E -8.21%K -38.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -3.22%E -0.597%K -0.733%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 18:55
PlayUp🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -1.82%E -0.214%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -17.56%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-08 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.46%EV -4.13%E -0.498%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.08%EV -5.73%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.46%EV -4.13%E -0.498%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.08%EV -5.73%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 18:40
SportsBet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.36%EV -4.71%E -0.571%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.68%EV -5.02%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 18:49
BetMGM🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.86%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 18:55
Coral🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 18:55
FanDuel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -7.61%E -5.81%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.02%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-08 18:49
Bovada🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.80%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 18:54
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 71.93%EV -13.25%E -10.77%K -57.61%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.01%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 71.93%EV -13.25%E -10.77%K -57.61%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.01%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 18:55
PMU (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 71.93%EV -13.25%E -10.77%K -57.61%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.01%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -10.49%E -1.35%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.22%E -0.597%K -0.733%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 18:55
Neds🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -10.49%E -1.35%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.22%E -0.597%K -0.733%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 18:55
888sport🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 18:50
BoyleSports🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -14.87%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-08 18:54
LeoVegas🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.61%E -5.81%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -10.39%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 18:55
theScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.54%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.33%EV -5.91%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -10.39%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 18:50
Paddy Power🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -10.39%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 18:45
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.94%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.41%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.65%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-08 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.67%EV -16.26%E -2.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.64%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 18:55
NetBet (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.39%EV -16.26%E -2.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.64%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.97%EV -10.39%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 18:55
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -19.15%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -19.15%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.04%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.05%EV -5.02%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 18:55
Sky Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -19.15%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 18:45
BetRivers🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -22.04%E -3.26%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -17.56%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 18:29
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎9.80I 10.20%NM 10.15%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.09%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.76%0.5%2026-09-08 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎9.60I 10.42%NM 10.34%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.93%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73%0.7%2026-09-08 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎9.60I 10.42%NM 10.34%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.93%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73%0.7%2026-09-08 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎9.60I 10.42%NM 10.34%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.93%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73%0.7%2026-09-08 18:55