StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Millwall v Newcastle United

2026-09-08 19:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Matchresultat

44 spelbolag (13 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Millwall (Hemma)

Prognos 17.83%5.61rättvist odds
EV +0.753%
Fördel +0.133%
Kelly +0.162%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.55%18.00%17.98%20.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.204.925.005.6523.81%20.33%20.00%17.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Newcastle United (Borta)

Prognos 59.18%1.69rättvist odds
EV -0.578%
Fördel -0.344%
Kelly -0.849%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.68

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
55.15%58.96%59.12%60.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.481.601.601.6867.57%62.43%62.50%59.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 22.99%4.35rättvist odds
EV -1.15%
Fördel -0.268%
Kelly -0.350%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.38%23.03%22.90%24.82%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.603.933.904.3027.78%25.43%25.64%23.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Millwall (Hemma): 17.83%; Newcastle United (Borta): 59.18%; Oavgjort: 22.99%. För Millwall (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.61. 1 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 5.65, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +0.753%.

Spelbolagsodds (44 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Marathon Bet🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 17.04%EV +0.753%E +0.133%K +0.162%G +0.001%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.56%EV -5.90%E -3.71%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39%EV -1.15%E -0.268%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 16:55
Pinnacle🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -0.139%E -0.025%K -0.030%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.79%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.38%EV -3.22%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 17:10
1xBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56%EV -1.92%E -0.349%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.98%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%EV -1.15%E -0.268%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-03 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.92%E -0.349%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.09%E -4.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -14.95%E -4.04%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 16:45
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.92%E -0.349%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.23%E -7.49%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-03 17:00
Betsson🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -3.71%E -0.686%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.43%EV -6.50%E -4.11%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -6.90%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:14
NordicBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -3.71%E -0.686%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.43%EV -6.50%E -4.11%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -6.90%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:10
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -6.38%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -6.38%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.00%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:00
betano_uk🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.38%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 17:00
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.38%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 16:59
FanDuel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -9.05%E -1.78%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -5.90%E -3.71%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 14:00
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 19:05
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 19:09
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 19:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 14:00
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 16:55
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.09%E -4.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 17:05
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 19:15
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.45%E -6.18%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.45%E -6.18%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.45%E -6.18%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.16%EV -14.40%E -3.00%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 58.90%EV -12.41%E -8.39%K -25.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-03 19:04
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -15.30%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 19:09
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -15.30%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 19:03
Svenska Spel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 15:45
betPARX🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:40
Grosvenor🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:44
Casumo🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:44
ATG (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:44
TABtouch🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:50
Unibet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 17:15
LeoVegas🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -19.75%E -4.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.80%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 17:19
LiveScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -21.54%E -4.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-03 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -21.54%E -4.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-03 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -21.54%E -4.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-03 16:39
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -22.79%E -5.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 55.91%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-03 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -23.32%E -5.42%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.74%EV -6.50%E -4.11%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-03 13:59
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.97%EV -25.10%E -5.98%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.45%EV -7.68%E -4.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-03 13:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.