StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Millwall v Newcastle United

2026-09-08 19:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Direkter Vergleich

44 Wettanbieter (13 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Millwall (Heim)

Prognose 17.83%5.61faire Quote
EV +0.753%
Vorteil +0.133%
Kelly +0.162%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.65

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.55%18.00%17.98%20.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.204.925.005.6523.81%20.33%20.00%17.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Newcastle United (Auswärts)

Prognose 59.18%1.69faire Quote
EV -0.578%
Vorteil -0.344%
Kelly -0.849%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.68

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
55.15%58.96%59.12%60.79%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.481.601.601.6867.57%62.43%62.50%59.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 22.99%4.35faire Quote
EV -1.15%
Vorteil -0.268%
Kelly -0.350%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.38%23.03%22.90%24.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.603.933.904.3027.78%25.43%25.64%23.26%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Millwall (Heim): 17.83%; Newcastle United (Auswärts): 59.18%; Unentschieden: 22.99%. Für Millwall (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.61. 1 Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 5.65 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +0.753%.

Wettanbieterquoten (44 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Marathon Bet🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 17.04%EV +0.753%E +0.133%K +0.162%G +0.001%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.56%EV -5.90%E -3.71%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39%EV -1.15%E -0.268%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 16:55
Pinnacle🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -0.139%E -0.025%K -0.030%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.79%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.38%EV -3.22%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 17:10
1xBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56%EV -1.92%E -0.349%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.98%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%EV -1.15%E -0.268%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-03 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.92%E -0.349%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.09%E -4.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -14.95%E -4.04%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 16:45
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.92%E -0.349%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.23%E -7.49%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-03 17:00
Betsson🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -3.71%E -0.686%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.43%EV -6.50%E -4.11%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -6.90%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:14
NordicBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -3.71%E -0.686%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.43%EV -6.50%E -4.11%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -6.90%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:10
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -6.38%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -6.38%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.00%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:00
betano_uk🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.38%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 17:00
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.38%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 16:59
FanDuel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -9.05%E -1.78%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -5.90%E -3.71%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 14:00
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 19:05
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 19:09
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 19:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 14:00
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 16:55
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.09%E -4.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 17:05
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 19:15
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.45%E -6.18%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.45%E -6.18%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.45%E -6.18%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.16%EV -14.40%E -3.00%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 58.90%EV -12.41%E -8.39%K -25.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-03 19:04
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -15.30%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 19:09
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -15.30%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 19:03
Svenska Spel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 15:45
betPARX🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:40
Grosvenor🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:44
Casumo🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:44
ATG (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:44
TABtouch🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:50
Unibet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 17:15
LeoVegas🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -19.75%E -4.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.80%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 17:19
LiveScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -21.54%E -4.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-03 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -21.54%E -4.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-03 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -21.54%E -4.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-03 16:39
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -22.79%E -5.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 55.91%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-03 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -23.32%E -5.42%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.74%EV -6.50%E -4.11%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-03 13:59
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.97%EV -25.10%E -5.98%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.45%EV -7.68%E -4.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-03 13:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.