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Millwall v Newcastle United
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Millwall (Хозяева)
Прогноз 11.55%8.66справедливый коэффициент
EV +15.50%
Преимущество +1.55%
Kelly +1.72%
Рост +0.267%
при максимальном коэффициенте 10.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
9.65%11.57%11.52%13.46%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
6.758.268.2510.0014.81%12.10%12.12%10.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Newcastle United (Гости)
Прогноз 70.53%1.42справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.08%
Преимущество -3.00%
Kelly -11.34%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.36
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
66.79%70.35%70.54%74.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.231.311.301.3681.30%76.48%76.92%73.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 17.92%5.58справедливый коэффициент
EV +7.53%
Преимущество +1.25%
Kelly +1.51%
Рост +0.113%
при максимальном коэффициенте 6.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.09%18.08%17.95%19.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.605.255.266.0021.74%19.05%19.01%16.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Millwall (Хозяева): 11.55%; Newcastle United (Гости): 70.53%; Ничья: 17.92%. Для исхода «Millwall (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 8.66. 17 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 10.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +15.50%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.65%EV +15.50%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%EV +7.53%E +1.25%K +1.51%G +0.113% | 3.6% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.65%EV +15.50%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%EV +7.53%E +1.25%K +1.51%G +0.113% | 3.6% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.70%EV +12.04%E +1.24%K +1.38%G +0.167% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.71%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +9.73%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.111% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +9.73%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.111% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 18:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.12%EV +7.42%E +0.798%K +0.894%G +0.066% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.26%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.70%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.31%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.99%EV -4.12%E -0.770%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +0.361%E +0.064%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +0.361%E +0.064%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +0.361%E +0.064%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 18:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +0.361%E +0.064%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +0.361%E +0.064%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +0.361%E +0.064%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.03%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.97%EV +1.64%E +0.187%K +0.211%G +0.003% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.98%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.04%EV -4.12%E -0.770%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.82%EV +1.06%E +0.122%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.16%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -5.91%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 18:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.76%EV +1.06%E +0.122%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.31%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -5.91%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.58I 11.66%NM 11.16%EV -0.899%E -0.105%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.94%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.90%EV -4.12%E -0.770%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -1.82%E -0.214%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.91%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -1.82%E -0.214%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.39%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -1.82%E -0.214%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.22%EV -10.43%E -8.21%K -38.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -3.22%E -0.597%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -1.82%E -0.214%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.22%EV -10.43%E -8.21%K -38.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -3.22%E -0.597%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -1.82%E -0.214%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -17.56%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.46%EV -4.13%E -0.498%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.08%EV -5.73%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.46%EV -4.13%E -0.498%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.08%EV -5.73%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.36%EV -4.71%E -0.571%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.68%EV -5.02%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 18:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.86%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -7.61%E -5.81%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.02%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 18:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.80%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.93%EV -13.25%E -10.77%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.01%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.93%EV -13.25%E -10.77%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.01%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.93%EV -13.25%E -10.77%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.01%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -10.49%E -1.35%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.22%E -0.597%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -10.49%E -1.35%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.22%E -0.597%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -14.87%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-08 18:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.61%E -5.81%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -10.39%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.54%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.33%EV -5.91%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -10.39%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -10.39%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-08 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.94%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.41%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.65%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.67%EV -16.26%E -2.24%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.64%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.39%EV -16.26%E -2.24%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.64%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.97%EV -10.39%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -19.15%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -19.15%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.04%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.05%EV -5.02%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -19.15%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -22.04%E -3.26%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -17.56%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 18:29 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.15% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.09% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.76% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.34% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.93% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73% | 0.7% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.34% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.93% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73% | 0.7% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.34% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.93% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73% | 0.7% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |