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Millwall v Newcastle United
Победитель встречи
Millwall (Хозяева)
Прогноз 17.83%5.61справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.753%
Преимущество +0.133%
Kelly +0.162%
Рост +0.001%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.65
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.55%18.00%17.98%20.97%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.204.925.005.6523.81%20.33%20.00%17.70%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Newcastle United (Гости)
Прогноз 59.18%1.69справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.578%
Преимущество -0.344%
Kelly -0.849%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.68
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
55.15%58.96%59.12%60.79%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.481.601.601.6867.57%62.43%62.50%59.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 22.99%4.35справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.15%
Преимущество -0.268%
Kelly -0.350%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.38%23.03%22.90%24.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.603.933.904.3027.78%25.43%25.64%23.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Для рынка «Победитель встречи» модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивает вероятности так: Millwall (Хозяева): 17.83%; Newcastle United (Гости): 59.18%; Ничья: 22.99%. Для исхода «Millwall (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствует справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.61. 1 букмекер предлагает коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший доступный коэффициент — 5.65, что даёт положительное математическое ожидание +0.753%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (44 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.04%EV +0.753%E +0.133%K +0.162%G +0.001% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.56%EV -5.90%E -3.71%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39%EV -1.15%E -0.268%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-03 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -0.139%E -0.025%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.79%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.38%EV -3.22%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56%EV -1.92%E -0.349%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.98%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%EV -1.15%E -0.268%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.92%E -0.349%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.09%E -4.51%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -14.95%E -4.04%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.92%E -0.349%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.23%E -7.49%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -3.71%E -0.686%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.43%EV -6.50%E -4.11%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -6.90%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -3.71%E -0.686%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.43%EV -6.50%E -4.11%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -6.90%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -6.38%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -6.38%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.00%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.38%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.38%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -9.05%E -1.78%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -5.90%E -3.71%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 19:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 19:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.09%E -4.51%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-03 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.45%E -6.18%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.45%E -6.18%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.45%E -6.18%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.16%EV -14.40%E -3.00%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.90%EV -12.41%E -8.39%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-03 19:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -15.30%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 19:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -15.30%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 19:03 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 16:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 16:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 16:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 17:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -19.75%E -4.39%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.80%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-03 17:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -21.54%E -4.89%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-03 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -21.54%E -4.89%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-03 16:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -21.54%E -4.89%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-03 16:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -22.79%E -5.26%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.91%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-09-03 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -23.32%E -5.42%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.74%EV -6.50%E -4.11%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-03 13:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.97%EV -25.10%E -5.98%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.45%EV -7.68%E -4.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-03 13:59 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.