Langue:Français
Millwall v Newcastle United
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Millwall (Local)
Prévision 11.55%8.66cote équitable
EV +15.50%
Avantage +1.55%
Kelly +1.72%
Croissance +0.267%
avec la cote maximale 10.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.65%11.57%11.52%13.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.758.268.2510.0014.81%12.10%12.12%10.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Newcastle United (Visiteur)
Prévision 70.53%1.42cote équitable
EV -4.08%
Avantage -3.00%
Kelly -11.34%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.79%70.35%70.54%74.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.231.311.301.3681.30%76.48%76.92%73.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 17.92%5.58cote équitable
EV +7.53%
Avantage +1.25%
Kelly +1.51%
Croissance +0.113%
avec la cote maximale 6.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.09%18.08%17.95%19.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.255.266.0021.74%19.05%19.01%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Millwall (Local) : 11.55% ; Newcastle United (Visiteur) : 70.53% ; Match nul : 17.92%. Pour Millwall (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.66. 17 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 10.00, soit une espérance positive de +15.50%.
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.65%EV +15.50%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%EV +7.53%E +1.25%K +1.51%G +0.113% | 3.6% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.65%EV +15.50%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%EV +7.53%E +1.25%K +1.51%G +0.113% | 3.6% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.70%EV +12.04%E +1.24%K +1.38%G +0.167% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.71%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +9.73%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.111% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +9.73%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.111% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 18:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.12%EV +7.42%E +0.798%K +0.894%G +0.066% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.26%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.70%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.31%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.99%EV -4.12%E -0.770%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +0.361%E +0.064%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +0.361%E +0.064%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +0.361%E +0.064%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 18:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +0.361%E +0.064%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +0.361%E +0.064%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +0.361%E +0.064%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV +3.95%E +0.439%K +0.494%G +0.020% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.03%EV -9.72%E -7.60%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.97%EV +1.64%E +0.187%K +0.211%G +0.003% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.98%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.04%EV -4.12%E -0.770%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.82%EV +1.06%E +0.122%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.16%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -5.91%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 18:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.76%EV +1.06%E +0.122%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.31%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -5.91%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.58I 11.66%NM 11.16%EV -0.899%E -0.105%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.94%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.90%EV -4.12%E -0.770%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -1.82%E -0.214%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.91%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -1.82%E -0.214%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.39%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -1.82%E -0.214%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.22%EV -10.43%E -8.21%K -38.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -3.22%E -0.597%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -1.82%E -0.214%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.22%EV -10.43%E -8.21%K -38.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -3.22%E -0.597%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -1.82%E -0.214%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -17.56%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.46%EV -4.13%E -0.498%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.08%EV -5.73%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.46%EV -4.13%E -0.498%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.08%EV -5.73%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.36%EV -4.71%E -0.571%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.68%EV -5.02%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 18:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.86%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -7.61%E -5.81%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.02%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 18:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.80%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.93%EV -13.25%E -10.77%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.01%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.93%EV -13.25%E -10.77%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.01%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -7.60%E -0.950%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.93%EV -13.25%E -10.77%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.01%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -10.49%E -1.35%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.22%E -0.597%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -10.49%E -1.35%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.22%E -0.597%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -14.87%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-08 18:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.61%E -5.81%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -10.39%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.54%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.33%EV -5.91%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -10.39%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -10.39%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-08 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.94%EV -13.37%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.41%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.65%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.67%EV -16.26%E -2.24%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.64%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.39%EV -16.26%E -2.24%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.64%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.97%EV -10.39%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -19.15%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -1.43%E -0.260%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -19.15%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.04%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.05%EV -5.02%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -19.15%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -22.04%E -3.26%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -17.56%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 18:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.15% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.09% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.76% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.34% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.93% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73% | 0.7% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.34% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.93% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73% | 0.7% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.34% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.93% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73% | 0.7% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |