Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Millwall v Newcastle United

2026-09-08 19:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Millwall (Local)

Prévision 17.83%5.61cote équitable
EV +0.753%
Avantage +0.133%
Kelly +0.162%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 5.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.55%18.00%17.98%20.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.925.005.6523.81%20.33%20.00%17.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Newcastle United (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.18%1.69cote équitable
EV -0.578%
Avantage -0.344%
Kelly -0.849%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.15%58.96%59.12%60.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.481.601.601.6867.57%62.43%62.50%59.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.99%4.35cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.268%
Kelly -0.350%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.38%23.03%22.90%24.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.933.904.3027.78%25.43%25.64%23.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Millwall (Local) : 17.83% ; Newcastle United (Visiteur) : 59.18% ; Match nul : 22.99%. Pour Millwall (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.61. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 5.65, pour une espérance positive de +0.753%.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 17.04%EV +0.753%E +0.133%K +0.162%G +0.001%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.56%EV -5.90%E -3.71%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39%EV -1.15%E -0.268%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 16:55
Pinnacle🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -0.139%E -0.025%K -0.030%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.79%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.38%EV -3.22%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 17:10
1xBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56%EV -1.92%E -0.349%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.98%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%EV -1.15%E -0.268%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-03 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.92%E -0.349%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.09%E -4.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -14.95%E -4.04%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 16:45
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.92%E -0.349%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.23%E -7.49%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-03 17:00
Betsson🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -3.71%E -0.686%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.43%EV -6.50%E -4.11%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -6.90%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:14
NordicBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -3.71%E -0.686%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.43%EV -6.50%E -4.11%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -6.90%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:10
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -6.38%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -6.38%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.00%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:00
betano_uk🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.38%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 17:00
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.38%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 16:59
FanDuel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -9.05%E -1.78%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -5.90%E -3.71%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 14:00
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 19:05
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 19:09
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 19:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 14:00
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 16:55
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.09%E -4.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 17:05
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 19:15
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.45%E -6.18%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.45%E -6.18%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.45%E -6.18%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.16%EV -14.40%E -3.00%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 58.90%EV -12.41%E -8.39%K -25.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-03 19:04
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -15.30%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 19:09
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -15.30%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 19:03
Svenska Spel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 15:45
betPARX🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:40
Grosvenor🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:44
Casumo🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:44
ATG (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:44
TABtouch🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:50
Unibet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 17:15
LeoVegas🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -19.75%E -4.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.80%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 17:19
LiveScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -21.54%E -4.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-03 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -21.54%E -4.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-03 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -21.54%E -4.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-03 16:39
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -22.79%E -5.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 55.91%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-03 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -23.32%E -5.42%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.74%EV -6.50%E -4.11%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-03 13:59
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.97%EV -25.10%E -5.98%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.45%EV -7.68%E -4.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-03 13:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.