StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Millwall v Newcastle United

2026-09-08 19:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Wedstrijduitslag

44 wedaanbieders (13 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Millwall (Thuis)

Prognose 17.83%5.61margevrije odds
EV +0.753%
Voordeel +0.133%
Kelly +0.162%
Groei +0.001%

bij maximale odds 5.65

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
16.55%18.00%17.98%20.97%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
4.204.925.005.6523.81%20.33%20.00%17.70%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Newcastle United (Uit)

Prognose 59.18%1.69margevrije odds
EV -0.578%
Voordeel -0.344%
Kelly -0.849%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.68

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
55.15%58.96%59.12%60.79%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.481.601.601.6867.57%62.43%62.50%59.52%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Gelijkspel

Prognose 22.99%4.35margevrije odds
EV -1.15%
Voordeel -0.268%
Kelly -0.350%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 4.30

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
22.38%23.03%22.90%24.82%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.603.933.904.3027.78%25.43%25.64%23.26%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Voor Wedstrijduitslag schat Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) de volgende kansen: Millwall (Thuis): 17.83%; Newcastle United (Uit): 59.18%; Gelijkspel: 22.99%. Voor Millwall (Thuis) komt deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 5.61. 1 wedaanbieder biedt odds boven dat niveau; de beste beschikbare odds zijn 5.65, met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +0.753%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (44 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuis ▼UitGelijkspelMargeBijgewerkt
Marathon Bet🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 17.04%EV +0.753%E +0.133%K +0.162%G +0.001%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.56%EV -5.90%E -3.71%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39%EV -1.15%E -0.268%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 16:55
Pinnacle🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -0.139%E -0.025%K -0.030%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.79%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.38%EV -3.22%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 17:10
1xBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56%EV -1.92%E -0.349%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.98%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%EV -1.15%E -0.268%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-03 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.92%E -0.349%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.09%E -4.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -14.95%E -4.04%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 16:45
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.92%E -0.349%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.23%E -7.49%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-03 17:00
Betsson🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -3.71%E -0.686%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.43%EV -6.50%E -4.11%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -6.90%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:14
NordicBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -3.71%E -0.686%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.43%EV -6.50%E -4.11%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -6.90%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:10
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -6.38%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -6.38%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.00%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:00
betano_uk🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.38%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 17:00
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.38%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 16:59
FanDuel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -9.05%E -1.78%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -5.90%E -3.71%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 14:00
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 19:05
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 19:09
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 19:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 14:00
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 16:55
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.09%E -4.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 17:05
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 19:15
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.45%E -6.18%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.45%E -6.18%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.84%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.45%E -6.18%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.16%EV -14.40%E -3.00%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 58.90%EV -12.41%E -8.39%K -25.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-03 19:04
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -15.30%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 19:09
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -15.30%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 19:03
Svenska Spel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 15:45
betPARX🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:40
Grosvenor🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:44
Casumo🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:44
ATG (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:44
TABtouch🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 16:50
Unibet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -16.19%E -3.44%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -0.578%E -0.344%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 17:15
LeoVegas🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -19.75%E -4.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.80%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 17:19
LiveScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -21.54%E -4.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-03 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -21.54%E -4.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-03 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -21.54%E -4.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-03 16:39
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -22.79%E -5.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 55.91%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -17.24%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-03 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -23.32%E -5.42%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.74%EV -6.50%E -4.11%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-03 13:59
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.97%EV -25.10%E -5.98%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.45%EV -7.68%E -4.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-03 13:59
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.