The School of OddsDerby County v Lincoln City
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Head to Head
Derby County (Local)
Prediction 47.13%2.12fair odd
EV +0.858%
Edge +0.401%
Kelly +0.752%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.38%46.91%47.08%48.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.821.941.952.1455%52%51%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Lincoln City (Visit)
Prediction 27.81%3.60fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.92%28.08%27.80%30.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.903.273.253.4534%31%31%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Draw
Prediction 25.06%3.99fair odd
EV +0.482%
Edge +0.120%
Kelly +0.160%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.34%25.01%25.13%26.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.353.683.704.0130%27%27%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.38%EV +0.858%E +0.401%K +0.752%G +0.006% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.95%EV -18.51%E -6.32%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -14.80%E -4.35%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-23 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.38%EV +0.858%E +0.401%K +0.752%G +0.006% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.95%EV -18.51%E -6.32%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -14.80%E -4.35%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-23 11:30 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 11:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-23 11:35 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-23 11:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-23 05:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-23 06:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.29%EV -6.21%E -3.12%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -4.05%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.43%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-23 05:59 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -6.68%E -3.38%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -11.04%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 16:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -6.68%E -3.38%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -11.04%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 16:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -6.68%E -3.38%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-23 11:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.43%EV -6.68%E -3.38%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-23 11:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -7.15%E -3.63%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.16%EV -10.72%E -3.34%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.34%EV +0.482%E +0.120%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-23 02:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-23 06:00 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-23 02:49 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-23 11:33 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-23 02:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-23 02:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-23 02:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.30%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-25 09:05 |
| betano_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.30%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-25 09:04 |
| 1xBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.46%EV -5.16%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.26%EV -3.28%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-23 06:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.57%EV -9.51%E -4.95%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -4.88%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.16%EV -3.28%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 05:59 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -9.98%E -5.23%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -16.56%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -4.78%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -10.45%E -5.50%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -4.78%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-21 14:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.44%EV -11.40%E -6.06%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -15.17%E -4.97%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.94%EV -12.30%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-07-23 11:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-21 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-21 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-21 19:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.60%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -12.30%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-22 13:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.22%EV -12.81%E -6.92%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.61%EV -11.04%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-07-25 07:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 46.06%EV -14.22%E -7.82%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.91%EV -19.34%E -6.67%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.03%EV -16.06%E -4.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-07-23 11:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45% | 7.7% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45% | 7.7% | 2026-07-25 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45% | 7.7% | 2026-07-25 17:45 |