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Derby County v Lincoln City
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Derby County (Хозяева)
Прогноз 46.53%2.15справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.61%
Преимущество -2.25%
Kelly -4.39%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.05
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
45.48%46.57%46.53%48.60%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.891.981.982.0552.91%50.52%50.51%48.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Lincoln City (Гости)
Прогноз 27.28%3.67справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.79%
Преимущество -0.497%
Kelly -0.688%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.60
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.05%27.23%27.20%28.28%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.153.363.353.6031.75%29.74%29.85%27.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 26.19%3.82справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.80%
Преимущество -0.479%
Kelly -0.653%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.14%26.19%26.27%27.62%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.533.503.7530.30%28.33%28.57%26.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Derby County (Хозяева): 46.53%; Lincoln City (Гости): 27.28%; Ничья: 26.19%. Для исхода «Lincoln City (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.67. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.60, математическое ожидание — -1.79%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -3.43%E -0.968%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.72%EV -6.77%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 13:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 13:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 13:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 13:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -6.01%E -2.97%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -6.01%E -2.97%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.79%E -0.497%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.79%E -0.497%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.11%E -0.839%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 06:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -1.80%E -0.479%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 06:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.11%E -0.839%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.86%EV -7.40%E -3.72%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.48%EV -7.40%E -3.72%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.28%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.48%EV -7.40%E -3.72%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.28%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -7.87%E -3.97%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.11%E -0.839%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.68%EV -7.87%E -3.97%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -7.87%E -3.97%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.66%EV -8.80%E -4.49%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.54%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.80%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 13:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -8.80%E -4.49%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.26%E -4.75%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.26%E -4.75%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.26%E -4.75%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.03%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.26%E -4.75%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -9.73%E -5.01%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -10.19%E -5.28%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.79%E -0.497%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -3.11%E -0.839%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.12%E -5.82%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -11.12%E -5.82%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -10.96%E -3.22%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 13:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.63%EV -11.59%E -6.10%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.60%EV -11.59%E -6.10%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -14.07%E -4.47%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.47%EV -11.59%E -6.10%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.73%EV -12.06%E -6.38%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -14.07%E -4.47%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |