StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Derby County v Lincoln City

Matchstart: 2026-08-08 13:59 UTC

Slutresultat: Derby County 1–2 Lincoln City

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Derby County (Hemma)

Prognos 46.53%2.15rättvist odds
EV -4.61%
Fördel -2.25%
Kelly -4.39%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.48%46.57%46.53%48.60%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.891.981.982.0552.91%50.52%50.51%48.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Lincoln City (Borta)

Prognos 27.28%3.67rättvist odds
EV -1.79%
Fördel -0.497%
Kelly -0.688%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.05%27.23%27.20%28.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.153.363.353.6031.75%29.74%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.19%3.82rättvist odds
EV -1.80%
Fördel -0.479%
Kelly -0.653%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.14%26.19%26.27%27.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.533.503.7530.30%28.33%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Derby County (Hemma): 46.53%; Lincoln City (Borta): 27.28%; Oavgjort: 26.19%. För Lincoln City (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.67. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.60, med väntevärdet -1.79%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -3.43%E -0.968%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.72%EV -6.77%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 13:45
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 13:05
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 13:05
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 13:04
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 13:49
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -6.01%E -2.97%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -6.01%E -2.97%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:35
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.79%E -0.497%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 13:55
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.79%E -0.497%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 13:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.11%E -0.839%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 06:45
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -1.80%E -0.479%K -0.653%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 06:45
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.11%E -0.839%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 13:30
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:34
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 13:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.86%EV -7.40%E -3.72%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 13:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.48%EV -7.40%E -3.72%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.28%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.48%EV -7.40%E -3.72%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.28%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -7.87%E -3.97%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.11%E -0.839%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:30
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.68%EV -7.87%E -3.97%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:54
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -7.87%E -3.97%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 13:35
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:05
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:55
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:55
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:55
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:54
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.66%EV -8.80%E -4.49%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.54%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.80%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:53
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -8.80%E -4.49%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.26%E -4.75%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 10:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.26%E -4.75%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:34
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.26%E -4.75%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.03%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:34
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.26%E -4.75%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 13:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -9.73%E -5.01%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -10.19%E -5.28%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.79%E -0.497%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -3.11%E -0.839%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 13:45
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.12%E -5.82%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 13:30
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -11.12%E -5.82%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -10.96%E -3.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 13:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.63%EV -11.59%E -6.10%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 13:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.60%EV -11.59%E -6.10%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -14.07%E -4.47%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 13:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.47%EV -11.59%E -6.10%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 13:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.73%EV -12.06%E -6.38%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -14.07%E -4.47%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 13:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-08-08 13:50