مدرسة الاحتمالات

Derby County v Lincoln City

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Derby County (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.13%2.12السعر العادل
EV +0.858%
الأفضلية +0.401%
Kelly +0.752%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.14

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.38%46.91%47.08%48.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.821.941.952.1454.95%51.55%51.28%46.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Lincoln City (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.81%3.60السعر العادل
EV -4.05%
الأفضلية -1.17%
Kelly -1.65%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.92%28.08%27.80%30.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.273.253.4534.48%30.59%30.77%28.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.06%3.99السعر العادل
EV +0.482%
الأفضلية +0.120%
Kelly +0.160%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.01

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.34%25.01%25.13%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.353.683.704.0129.85%27.21%27.03%24.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 42.38%EV +0.858%E +0.401%K +0.752%G +0.006%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.95%EV -18.51%E -6.32%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -14.80%E -4.35%K -6.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-23 11:30
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 42.38%EV +0.858%E +0.401%K +0.752%G +0.006%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.95%EV -18.51%E -6.32%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -14.80%E -4.35%K -6.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-23 11:30
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 11:35
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 11:35
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 11:35
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 05:59
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 06:00
SportsBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.29%EV -6.21%E -3.12%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -4.05%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.43%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 05:59
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -6.68%E -3.38%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -11.04%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 16:05
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -6.68%E -3.38%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -11.04%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 16:05
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -6.68%E -3.38%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 11:30
LeoVegas1.98I 50.51%NM 46.43%EV -6.68%E -3.38%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-23 11:35
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -7.15%E -3.63%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.16%EV -10.72%E -3.34%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.34%EV +0.482%E +0.120%K +0.160%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-21 19:20
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 02:50
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 06:00
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-23 02:49
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-23 11:33
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 02:50
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 02:50
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 02:49
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.30%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 09:05
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.30%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 09:04
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.46%EV -5.16%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.26%EV -3.28%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 06:00
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.57%EV -9.51%E -4.95%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -4.88%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.16%EV -3.28%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 05:59
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -9.98%E -5.23%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -16.56%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -4.78%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-21 19:20
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -10.45%E -5.50%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -4.78%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 14:29
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.44%EV -11.40%E -6.06%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -15.17%E -4.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.94%EV -12.30%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-23 11:30
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:50
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:50
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:50
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
PMU (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.60%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -12.30%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-22 13:34
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.22%EV -12.81%E -6.92%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.61%EV -11.04%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-25 07:00
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 46.06%EV -14.22%E -7.82%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.91%EV -19.34%E -6.67%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.03%EV -16.06%E -4.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%19.3%2026-07-23 11:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (3)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%7.7%2026-07-26 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%7.7%2026-07-25 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%7.7%2026-07-25 22:30