语言:简体中文
Derby County v Lincoln City
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Derby County (主队)
预测 46.53%2.15公平赔率
EV -4.61%
优势 -2.25%
Kelly -4.39%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.05
博彩公司预测分布
45.48%46.57%46.53%48.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.891.981.982.0552.91%50.52%50.51%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
Lincoln City (客队)
预测 27.28%3.67公平赔率
EV -1.79%
优势 -0.497%
Kelly -0.688%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
26.05%27.23%27.20%28.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.363.353.6031.75%29.74%29.85%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.19%3.82公平赔率
EV -1.80%
优势 -0.479%
Kelly -0.653%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.75
博彩公司预测分布
25.14%26.19%26.27%27.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.533.503.7530.30%28.33%28.57%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Derby County (主队)：46.53%；Lincoln City (客队)：27.28%；平局：26.19%。 对于“Lincoln City (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.67。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.60，期望值为-1.79%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -3.43%E -0.968%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.72%EV -6.77%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 13:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 13:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 13:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 13:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -6.01%E -2.97%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -6.01%E -2.97%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.79%E -0.497%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.79%E -0.497%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.11%E -0.839%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 06:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -1.80%E -0.479%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 06:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.11%E -0.839%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.86%EV -7.40%E -3.72%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.48%EV -7.40%E -3.72%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.28%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.48%EV -7.40%E -3.72%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.28%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -7.87%E -3.97%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.11%E -0.839%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.68%EV -7.87%E -3.97%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -7.87%E -3.97%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.66%EV -8.80%E -4.49%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.54%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.80%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 13:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -8.80%E -4.49%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.26%E -4.75%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.26%E -4.75%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.26%E -4.75%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.03%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.26%E -4.75%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -9.73%E -5.01%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -10.19%E -5.28%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.79%E -0.497%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -3.11%E -0.839%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.12%E -5.82%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -11.12%E -5.82%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -10.96%E -3.22%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 13:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.63%EV -11.59%E -6.10%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.60%EV -11.59%E -6.10%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -14.07%E -4.47%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.47%EV -11.59%E -6.10%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.73%EV -12.06%E -6.38%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -14.07%E -4.47%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |