L’École des cotes

Derby County v Lincoln City

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Derby County (Local)

Prévision 47.13%2.12cote équitable
EV +0.858%
Avantage +0.401%
Kelly +0.752%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.38%46.91%47.08%48.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.821.941.952.1454.95%51.55%51.28%46.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lincoln City (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.81%3.60cote équitable
EV -4.05%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -1.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.92%28.08%27.80%30.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.273.253.4534.48%30.59%30.77%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.06%3.99cote équitable
EV +0.482%
Avantage +0.120%
Kelly +0.160%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.34%25.01%25.13%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.683.704.0129.85%27.21%27.03%24.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 42.38%EV +0.858%E +0.401%K +0.752%G +0.006%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.95%EV -18.51%E -6.32%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -14.80%E -4.35%K -6.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-23 11:30
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 42.38%EV +0.858%E +0.401%K +0.752%G +0.006%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.95%EV -18.51%E -6.32%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -14.80%E -4.35%K -6.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-23 11:30
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 11:35
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 11:35
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 11:35
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 05:59
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 06:00
SportsBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.29%EV -6.21%E -3.12%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -4.05%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.43%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 05:59
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -6.68%E -3.38%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -11.04%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 16:05
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -6.68%E -3.38%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -11.04%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 16:05
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -6.68%E -3.38%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 11:30
LeoVegas1.98I 50.51%NM 46.43%EV -6.68%E -3.38%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-23 11:35
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -7.15%E -3.63%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.16%EV -10.72%E -3.34%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.34%EV +0.482%E +0.120%K +0.160%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-21 19:20
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 02:50
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 06:00
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-23 02:49
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-23 11:33
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 02:50
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 02:50
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 02:49
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.30%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 09:05
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.30%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 09:04
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.46%EV -5.16%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.26%EV -3.28%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 06:00
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.57%EV -9.51%E -4.95%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -4.88%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.16%EV -3.28%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 05:59
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -9.98%E -5.23%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -16.56%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -4.78%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-21 19:20
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -10.45%E -5.50%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -4.78%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 14:29
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.44%EV -11.40%E -6.06%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -15.17%E -4.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.94%EV -12.30%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-23 11:30
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:50
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:50
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:50
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
PMU (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.60%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -12.30%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-22 13:34
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.22%EV -12.81%E -6.92%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.61%EV -11.04%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-25 07:00
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 46.06%EV -14.22%E -7.82%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.91%EV -19.34%E -6.67%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.03%EV -16.06%E -4.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%19.3%2026-07-23 11:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%7.7%2026-07-26 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%7.7%2026-07-25 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%7.7%2026-07-25 22:30