Langue:Français
Derby County v Lincoln City
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Derby County (Local)
Prévision 46.53%2.15cote équitable
EV -4.61%
Avantage -2.25%
Kelly -4.39%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.48%46.57%46.53%48.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.891.981.982.0552.91%50.52%50.51%48.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Lincoln City (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.28%3.67cote équitable
EV -1.79%
Avantage -0.497%
Kelly -0.688%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.05%27.23%27.20%28.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.363.353.6031.75%29.74%29.85%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 26.19%3.82cote équitable
EV -1.80%
Avantage -0.479%
Kelly -0.653%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.14%26.19%26.27%27.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.533.503.7530.30%28.33%28.57%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Derby County (Local) : 46.53% ; Lincoln City (Visiteur) : 27.28% ; Match nul : 26.19%. Pour Lincoln City (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.67. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.60, pour une espérance de -1.79% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -3.43%E -0.968%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.72%EV -6.77%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 13:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 13:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 13:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 13:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -6.01%E -2.97%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -6.01%E -2.97%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.79%E -0.497%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.79%E -0.497%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.11%E -0.839%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 06:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -1.80%E -0.479%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 06:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.11%E -0.839%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.94%E -3.47%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.86%EV -7.40%E -3.72%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.48%EV -7.40%E -3.72%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.28%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.48%EV -7.40%E -3.72%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.28%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -7.87%E -3.97%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.11%E -0.839%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.68%EV -7.87%E -3.97%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -7.87%E -3.97%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.66%EV -8.80%E -4.49%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.54%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.80%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 13:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -8.80%E -4.49%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.26%E -4.75%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.26%E -4.75%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.26%E -4.75%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.03%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.26%E -4.75%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -9.73%E -5.01%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -10.19%E -5.28%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.79%E -0.497%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -3.11%E -0.839%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.12%E -5.82%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -11.12%E -5.82%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -10.96%E -3.22%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 13:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.63%EV -11.59%E -6.10%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.60%EV -11.59%E -6.10%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -14.07%E -4.47%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.47%EV -11.59%E -6.10%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.73%EV -12.06%E -6.38%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -14.07%E -4.47%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |