The School of OddsColchester United v Southampton
Head to Head
Option 1: Colchester United (Local)
Odds
6.5015.38%Min
6.8614.59%Mean
6.5015.38%Median
8.3511.98%Max
Consensus probabilities
11.21%8.918Min
13.91%7.187Max
13.03%7.675Mean
13.30%7.516Median
13.30%7.516IQM
12.93%7.733Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 8.35 under the IQM model: 13.30%
EV +11.09%Edge +1.33%Kelly +1.51%Growth +0.167%
Option 2: Southampton (Visit)
Odds
1.3076.92%Min
1.3474.52%Mean
1.3574.07%Median
1.3872.46%Max
Consensus probabilities
66.89%1.495Min
70.23%1.424Max
68.41%1.462Mean
68.24%1.465Median
68.24%1.465IQM
68.55%1.459Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.38 under the IQM model: 68.24%
EV -5.83%Edge -4.23%Kelly -15.35%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
4.7021.28%Min
4.8420.68%Mean
4.7021.28%Median
5.1019.61%Max
Consensus probabilities
17.91%5.585Min
19.37%5.163Max
18.56%5.388Mean
18.46%5.417Median
18.46%5.417IQM
18.52%5.399Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 5.10 under the IQM model: 18.46%
EV -5.86%Edge -1.15%Kelly -1.43%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Colchester United (Local) ▼ | Southampton (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 8.35I 11.98% NM 11.21%EV +11.09% E +1.33% K +1.51% G +0.167% | 1.34I 74.63% NM 69.87%EV -8.56% E -6.39% K -25.19% G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20% NM 18.91%EV -8.63% E -1.74% K -2.18% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-26 18:57 |
| Coolbet | 8.25I 12.12% NM 11.70%EV +9.76% E +1.18% K +1.35% G +0.131% | 1.38I 72.46% NM 69.92%EV -5.83% E -4.23% K -15.35% G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05% NM 18.38%EV -3.09% E -0.588% K -0.727% G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-26 11:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 8.00I 12.50% NM 11.86%EV +6.44% E +0.805% K +0.920% G +0.059% | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.77%EV -5.83% E -4.23% K -15.35% G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41% NM 19.37%EV -9.55% E -1.95% K -2.45% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 02:59 |
| FanDuel | 8.00I 12.50% NM 11.59%EV +6.44% E +0.805% K +0.920% G +0.059% | 1.32I 75.76% NM 70.23%EV -9.93% E -7.52% K -31.03% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 18.18%EV -5.86% E -1.15% K -1.43% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-01 14:10 |
| SportsBet | 7.75I 12.90% NM 12.06%EV +3.11% E +0.401% K +0.461% G +0.014% | 1.35I 74.07% NM 69.24%EV -7.88% E -5.84% K -22.52% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.70%EV -7.70% E -1.54% K -1.93% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 14:09 |
| Paddy Power | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.29%EV -0.215% E -0.029% K -0.033% G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19% NM 69.28%EV -9.25% E -6.95% K -28.02% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.43%EV -7.70% E -1.54% K -1.93% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-01 14:10 |
| Sky Bet | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.29%EV -0.215% E -0.029% K -0.033% G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19% NM 69.28%EV -9.25% E -6.95% K -28.02% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.43%EV -7.70% E -1.54% K -1.93% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-01 14:09 |
| BoyleSports | 7.00I 14.29% NM 12.73%EV -6.87% E -0.981% K -1.14% G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92% NM 68.52%EV -11.29% E -8.69% K -37.64% G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05% NM 18.75%EV -12.32% E -2.59% K -3.29% G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-27 15:10 |
| LeoVegas | 6.80I 14.71% NM 13.43%EV -9.53% E -1.40% K -1.64% G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19% NM 68.66%EV -9.25% E -6.95% K -28.02% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 17.91%EV -5.86% E -1.15% K -1.43% G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-02 10:20 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38% NM 13.91%EV -13.52% E -2.08% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19% NM 68.00%EV -9.25% E -6.95% K -28.02% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.09%EV -7.70% E -1.54% K -1.93% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-30 14:00 |
| 888sport | 6.50I 15.38% NM 13.91%EV -13.52% E -2.08% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19% NM 68.00%EV -9.25% E -6.95% K -28.02% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.09%EV -7.70% E -1.54% K -1.93% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.50I 15.38% NM 13.91%EV -13.52% E -2.08% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19% NM 68.00%EV -9.25% E -6.95% K -28.02% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.09%EV -7.70% E -1.54% K -1.93% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.50I 15.38% NM 13.91%EV -13.52% E -2.08% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19% NM 68.00%EV -9.25% E -6.95% K -28.02% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.09%EV -7.70% E -1.54% K -1.93% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-30 14:19 |
| BetRivers | 6.50I 15.38% NM 13.89%EV -13.52% E -2.08% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07% NM 66.89%EV -7.88% E -5.84% K -22.52% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.21%EV -13.24% E -2.82% K -3.58% G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 05:19 |
| betPARX | 6.50I 15.38% NM 13.89%EV -13.52% E -2.08% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07% NM 66.89%EV -7.88% E -5.84% K -22.52% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.21%EV -13.24% E -2.82% K -3.58% G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.50I 15.38% NM 13.89%EV -13.52% E -2.08% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07% NM 66.89%EV -7.88% E -5.84% K -22.52% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.21%EV -13.24% E -2.82% K -3.58% G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.50I 15.38% NM 13.89%EV -13.52% E -2.08% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07% NM 66.89%EV -7.88% E -5.84% K -22.52% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.21%EV -13.24% E -2.82% K -3.58% G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.50I 15.38% NM 13.89%EV -13.52% E -2.08% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07% NM 66.89%EV -7.88% E -5.84% K -22.52% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.21%EV -13.24% E -2.82% K -3.58% G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| Grosvenor | 6.50I 15.38% NM 13.89%EV -13.52% E -2.08% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07% NM 66.89%EV -7.88% E -5.84% K -22.52% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.21%EV -13.24% E -2.82% K -3.58% G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.50I 15.38% NM 13.89%EV -13.52% E -2.08% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07% NM 66.89%EV -7.88% E -5.84% K -22.52% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.21%EV -13.24% E -2.82% K -3.58% G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.50I 15.38% NM 13.89%EV -13.52% E -2.08% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07% NM 66.89%EV -7.88% E -5.84% K -22.52% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.21%EV -13.24% E -2.82% K -3.58% G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| Casumo | 6.50I 15.38% NM 13.89%EV -13.52% E -2.08% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07% NM 66.89%EV -7.88% E -5.84% K -22.52% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.21%EV -13.24% E -2.82% K -3.58% G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.50I 15.38% NM 13.89%EV -13.52% E -2.08% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07% NM 66.89%EV -7.88% E -5.84% K -22.52% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.21%EV -13.24% E -2.82% K -3.58% G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.50I 15.38% NM 13.89%EV -13.52% E -2.08% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07% NM 66.89%EV -7.88% E -5.84% K -22.52% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.21%EV -13.24% E -2.82% K -3.58% G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| TABtouch | 6.50I 15.38% NM 13.89%EV -13.52% E -2.08% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07% NM 66.89%EV -7.88% E -5.84% K -22.52% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.21%EV -13.24% E -2.82% K -3.58% G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:39 |
| Unibet | 6.50I 15.38% NM 13.89%EV -13.52% E -2.08% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07% NM 66.89%EV -7.88% E -5.84% K -22.52% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.21%EV -13.24% E -2.82% K -3.58% G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Colchester United (Local) | Southampton (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.02I 98.04% | 190.3% | 2026-06-26 15:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.02I 98.04% | 190.3% | 2026-06-26 15:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.02I 98.04% | 190.3% | 2026-06-26 15:39 |