Language:English
Colchester United v Southampton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Colchester United (Local)
Prediction 10.33%9.68fair odd
EV +8.44%
Edge +0.803%
Kelly +0.888%
Growth +0.075%
assuming max odds 10.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.11%10.34%10.13%12.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.718.5010.5013.33%11.48%11.76%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Southampton (Visit)
Prediction 72.81%1.37fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -9.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.68%72.66%73.02%74.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.281.291.3382.64%78.16%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.86%5.93fair odd
EV +1.85%
Edge +0.306%
Kelly +0.366%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 6.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.52%16.99%16.85%19.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.425.506.0421.05%18.45%18.18%16.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colchester United (Local): 10.33%; Southampton (Visit): 72.81%; Draw: 16.86%. For Colchester United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.68. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.44%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.12%EV +8.44%E +0.803%K +0.888%G +0.075% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.23%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.65%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.11%EV +5.85%E +0.571%K +0.633%G +0.037% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -8.26%E -6.55%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.82%EV -6.42%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 12:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.20%E -0.379%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 16:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 12:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV +1.21%E +0.123%K +0.137%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -16.53%E -3.34%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 16:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV +1.21%E +0.123%K +0.137%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -16.53%E -3.34%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 16:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -9.71%E -7.83%K -40.48%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -0.514%E -0.087%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.21%EV -6.80%E -5.31%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -19.91%E -4.19%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -11.17%E -9.16%K -50.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 16:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -11.17%E -9.16%K -50.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 16:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.37I 10.67%NM 10.11%EV -3.23%E -0.345%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.40%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.50%EV -3.21%E -0.560%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 16:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -7.05%E -0.784%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 16:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 12:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 12:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.68%EV -11.17%E -9.16%K -50.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -11.47%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 16:13 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.49%EV -14.80%E -1.79%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.16%E -2.38%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.70%EV -14.80%E -1.79%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.95%EV -11.90%E -9.83%K -56.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.13%EV -15.32%E -1.87%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.31%EV -6.80%E -5.31%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.13%EV -15.32%E -1.87%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.31%EV -6.80%E -5.31%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -3.16%E -2.38%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -3.16%E -2.38%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 15:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -11.47%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -9.71%E -7.83%K -40.48%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -9.71%E -7.83%K -40.48%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -9.71%E -7.83%K -40.48%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -19.96%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -3.89%E -2.95%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -19.96%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -3.89%E -2.95%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.84%EV -19.96%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.16%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 16:18 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.75%EV -19.96%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.27%EV -8.26%E -6.55%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.98%EV -3.89%E -0.682%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.56I 13.23%NM 12.40%EV -21.93%E -2.90%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.09%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 6.04I 16.56%NM 15.52%EV +1.85%E +0.306%K +0.366%G +0.007% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -22.55%E -3.01%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.39% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.39% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.39% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.39% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
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