Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Colchester United v Southampton

Início: 2026-08-08 16:30 UTC

Final: Colchester United 0–2 Southampton

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Colchester United (Local)

Previsão 10.33%9.68odd justa
EV +8.44%
Vantagem +0.803%
Kelly +0.888%
Crescimento +0.075%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.11%10.34%10.13%12.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
7.508.718.5010.5013.33%11.48%11.76%9.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Southampton (Visitante)

Previsão 72.81%1.37odd justa
EV -3.16%
Vantagem -2.38%
Kelly -9.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.68%72.66%73.02%74.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.211.281.291.3382.64%78.16%77.52%75.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 16.86%5.93odd justa
EV +1.85%
Vantagem +0.306%
Kelly +0.366%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.52%16.99%16.85%19.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.755.425.506.0421.05%18.45%18.18%16.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Colchester United (Local): 10.33%; Southampton (Visitante): 72.81%; Empate: 16.86%. Para Colchester United (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 9.68. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 10.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.44%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Bet Victor🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.12%EV +8.44%E +0.803%K +0.888%G +0.075%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.23%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.65%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.641%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 16:24
Marathon Bet🎯10.25I 9.76%NM 9.11%EV +5.85%E +0.571%K +0.633%G +0.037%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -8.26%E -6.55%K -31.76%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.82%EV -6.42%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 16:20
betano_uk🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.641%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 12:04
SportsBet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.20%E -0.379%K -0.458%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 16:14
BoyleSports🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 12:15
NordicBet🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV +1.21%E +0.123%K +0.137%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -16.53%E -3.34%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 16:09
Betsson🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV +1.21%E +0.123%K +0.137%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -16.53%E -3.34%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 16:09
Coolbet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 15:19
Betr (AU)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 15:20
Unibet (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 16:24
FanDuel🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -9.71%E -7.83%K -40.48%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -0.514%E -0.087%K -0.105%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 16:24
PlayUp🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.21%EV -6.80%E -5.31%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -19.91%E -4.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 16:20
Paddy Power🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -11.17%E -9.16%K -50.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 16:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -11.17%E -9.16%K -50.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 16:19
Pinnacle🎯9.37I 10.67%NM 10.11%EV -3.23%E -0.345%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.40%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.50%EV -3.21%E -0.560%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 16:15
William Hill🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -7.05%E -0.784%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 16:04
theScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.641%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 16:25
betPARX🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:24
Unibet (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:25
Grosvenor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:24
Casumo🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:25
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:25
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:24
888sport🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 12:09
888sport (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 12:09
Betway🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.641%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 16:20
Sky Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.68%EV -11.17%E -9.16%K -50.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -11.47%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 16:13
BetMGM🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.49%EV -14.80%E -1.79%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.16%E -2.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 09:50
NetBet (FR)🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 10.70%EV -14.80%E -1.79%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 72.95%EV -11.90%E -9.83%K -56.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.13%EV -15.32%E -1.87%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.31%EV -6.80%E -5.31%K -24.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 16:24
BetOnline.ag🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.13%EV -15.32%E -1.87%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.31%EV -6.80%E -5.31%K -24.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 16:25
Coral🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -3.16%E -2.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -3.16%E -2.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 09:50
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 15:55
LeoVegas🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -11.47%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -9.71%E -7.83%K -40.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -9.71%E -7.83%K -40.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 16:24
PMU (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -9.71%E -7.83%K -40.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -19.96%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -3.89%E -2.95%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 09:50
Neds🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -19.96%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -3.89%E -2.95%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 09:50
Bovada🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.84%EV -19.96%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.16%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 16:18
Winamax (DE)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.75%EV -19.96%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.27%EV -8.26%E -6.55%K -31.76%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.98%EV -3.89%E -0.682%K -0.827%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 16:24
1xBet🎯7.56I 13.23%NM 12.40%EV -21.93%E -2.90%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.09%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.52%EV +1.85%E +0.306%K +0.366%G +0.007%6.7%2026-08-08 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -22.55%E -3.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 16:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.39%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40%1.5%2026-08-08 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.39%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40%1.5%2026-08-08 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.39%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40%1.5%2026-08-08 16:25
Matchbook12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.39%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40%1.5%2026-08-08 16:25