La scuola delle quote

Colchester United v Southampton

2026-08-08 16:00 UTC — EFL Cup

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44 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Colchester United (Casa)

Previsione 11.35%8.81quota equa
EV +2.15%
Vantaggio +0.239%
Kelly +0.269%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.21%11.57%11.34%14.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.007.588.009.0016.67%13.19%12.50%11.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Southampton (Trasferta)

Previsione 70.53%1.42quota equa
EV -4.79%
Vantaggio -3.55%
Kelly -13.69%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.89%70.29%70.51%72.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.231.321.331.3581.30%75.68%75.19%74.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 18.12%5.52quota equa
EV -0.315%
Vantaggio -0.057%
Kelly -0.070%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.82%18.13%18.15%19.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.504.934.905.5022.22%20.29%20.41%18.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betr (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV +2.15%E +0.239%K +0.269%G +0.006%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.53%EV -6.91%E -5.23%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -4.85%E -0.923%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 03:35
Marathon Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +2.15%E +0.239%K +0.269%G +0.006%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -8.32%E -6.40%K -27.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -5.75%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 20:00
SportsBet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV +2.15%E +0.239%K +0.269%G +0.006%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.50%EV -9.73%E -7.60%K -34.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -2.13%E -0.394%K -0.484%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 23:20
Paddy Power9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +2.15%E +0.239%K +0.269%G +0.006%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -9.38%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 23:19
Sky Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +2.15%E +0.239%K +0.269%G +0.006%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -9.38%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 23:20
Tipico (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV +2.15%E +0.239%K +0.269%G +0.006%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -8.32%E -6.40%K -27.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -13.00%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 08:15
1xBet8.90I 11.24%NM 10.52%EV +1.02%E +0.114%K +0.129%G +0.001%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.47%EV -7.61%E -5.81%K -24.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -5.75%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 19:59
Coral8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -3.52%E -0.414%K -0.470%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.62%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -4.85%E -0.923%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 19:59
BetMGM8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -3.52%E -0.414%K -0.470%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.62%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -4.85%E -0.923%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 19:59
Ladbrokes (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -3.52%E -0.414%K -0.470%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.99%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -9.38%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 19:59
William Hill8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -3.52%E -0.414%K -0.470%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.44%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -13.00%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 20:59
FanDuel8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -3.52%E -0.414%K -0.470%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -9.73%E -7.60%K -34.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -0.315%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 23:19
Pinnacle8.37I 11.95%NM 11.08%EV -5.00%E -0.597%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.33%EV -8.32%E -6.40%K -27.72%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 17.59%EV -4.48%E -0.851%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)8.25I 12.12%NM 11.41%EV -6.36%E -0.771%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.75%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.38%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 19:59
Neds8.25I 12.12%NM 11.41%EV -6.36%E -0.771%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.75%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.38%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 19:59
Bovada8.25I 12.12%NM 11.13%EV -6.36%E -0.771%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.20%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -5.75%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-23 14:32
888sport8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.20%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -13.00%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 19:20
888sport (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.20%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -13.00%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 19:50
Mr Green (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.20%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -13.00%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 19:50
betano_uk8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.20%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.32%E -6.40%K -27.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -9.38%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 09:04
Bet Victor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.20%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.32%E -6.40%K -27.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -9.38%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 09:05
BoyleSports8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -9.20%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.38%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-22 00:34
Betway8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -9.20%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -11.84%E -9.47%K -47.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -4.85%E -0.923%K -1.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 14:35
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -14.87%E -1.98%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.78%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -5.75%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 07:05
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -14.87%E -1.98%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.38%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 22:40
NetBet (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.63%EV -14.87%E -1.98%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 70.92%EV -13.25%E -10.78%K -57.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.45%EV -9.38%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-25 09:05
LowVig.ag6.70I 14.93%NM 13.37%EV -23.95%E -3.58%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 68.36%EV -7.61%E -5.81%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -11.19%E -2.28%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-22 19:59
BetOnline.ag6.70I 14.93%NM 13.37%EV -23.95%E -3.58%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 68.36%EV -7.61%E -5.81%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -11.19%E -2.28%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-22 19:59
BetRivers6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -26.22%E -4.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -14.81%E -3.15%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -26.22%E -4.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -14.81%E -3.15%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -26.22%E -4.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -14.81%E -3.15%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -26.22%E -4.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -14.81%E -3.15%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -26.22%E -4.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -14.81%E -3.15%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -26.22%E -4.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -14.81%E -3.15%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -26.22%E -4.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -14.81%E -3.15%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -26.22%E -4.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -14.81%E -3.15%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -26.22%E -4.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -14.81%E -3.15%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -26.22%E -4.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -14.81%E -3.15%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -26.22%E -4.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -14.81%E -3.15%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -26.22%E -4.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -14.81%E -3.15%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -26.22%E -4.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -14.81%E -3.15%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -26.22%E -4.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -14.81%E -3.15%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-16 14:05
Winamax (DE)6.25I 16.00%NM 13.92%EV -29.06%E -4.65%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 67.96%EV -9.73%E -7.60%K -34.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.12%EV -13.00%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-22 15:39
Winamax (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.09%EV -31.90%E -5.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 67.11%EV -11.14%E -8.84%K -42.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.79%EV -18.44%E -4.10%K -5.27%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-22 15:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 47.09%1.33I 75.19%NM 42.13%5.20I 19.23%NM 10.78%78.5%2026-07-26 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 47.09%1.33I 75.19%NM 42.13%5.20I 19.23%NM 10.78%78.5%2026-07-26 07:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 47.09%1.33I 75.19%NM 42.13%5.20I 19.23%NM 10.78%78.5%2026-07-26 07:55