Idioma:Español
Colchester United v Southampton
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Colchester United (Local)
Predicción 10.33%9.68momio equitativo
EV +8.44%
Ventaja +0.803%
Kelly +0.888%
Crecimiento +0.075%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.11%10.34%10.13%12.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.508.718.5010.5013.33%11.48%11.76%9.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Southampton (Visitante)
Predicción 72.81%1.37momio equitativo
EV -3.16%
Ventaja -2.38%
Kelly -9.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.68%72.66%73.02%74.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.211.281.291.3382.64%78.16%77.52%75.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 16.86%5.93momio equitativo
EV +1.85%
Ventaja +0.306%
Kelly +0.366%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.52%16.99%16.85%19.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.755.425.506.0421.05%18.45%18.18%16.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Colchester United (Local): 10.33%; Southampton (Visitante): 72.81%; Empate: 16.86%. Para Colchester United (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 9.68. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 10.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +8.44%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.12%EV +8.44%E +0.803%K +0.888%G +0.075% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.23%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.65%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.11%EV +5.85%E +0.571%K +0.633%G +0.037% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -8.26%E -6.55%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.82%EV -6.42%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 12:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.20%E -0.379%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 16:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 12:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV +1.21%E +0.123%K +0.137%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -16.53%E -3.34%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 16:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV +1.21%E +0.123%K +0.137%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -16.53%E -3.34%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 16:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -9.71%E -7.83%K -40.48%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -0.514%E -0.087%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.21%EV -6.80%E -5.31%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -19.91%E -4.19%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -11.17%E -9.16%K -50.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 16:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -11.17%E -9.16%K -50.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 16:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.37I 10.67%NM 10.11%EV -3.23%E -0.345%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.40%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.50%EV -3.21%E -0.560%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 16:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -7.05%E -0.784%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 16:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 12:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 12:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.68%EV -11.17%E -9.16%K -50.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -11.47%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 16:13 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.49%EV -14.80%E -1.79%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.16%E -2.38%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.70%EV -14.80%E -1.79%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.95%EV -11.90%E -9.83%K -56.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.13%EV -15.32%E -1.87%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.31%EV -6.80%E -5.31%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.13%EV -15.32%E -1.87%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.31%EV -6.80%E -5.31%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -3.16%E -2.38%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -3.16%E -2.38%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 15:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -11.47%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -9.71%E -7.83%K -40.48%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -9.71%E -7.83%K -40.48%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -9.71%E -7.83%K -40.48%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -19.96%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -3.89%E -2.95%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -19.96%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -3.89%E -2.95%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.84%EV -19.96%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.16%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 16:18 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.75%EV -19.96%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.27%EV -8.26%E -6.55%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.98%EV -3.89%E -0.682%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.56I 13.23%NM 12.40%EV -21.93%E -2.90%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.09%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 6.04I 16.56%NM 15.52%EV +1.85%E +0.306%K +0.366%G +0.007% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -22.55%E -3.01%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.39% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.39% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.39% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.39% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |