Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Colchester United v Southampton

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 16:30 UTC

Score final : Colchester United 0–2 Southampton

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Colchester United (Local)

Prévision 10.33%9.68cote équitable
EV +8.44%
Avantage +0.803%
Kelly +0.888%
Croissance +0.075%

avec la cote maximale 10.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.11%10.34%10.13%12.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.508.718.5010.5013.33%11.48%11.76%9.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Southampton (Visiteur)

Prévision 72.81%1.37cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -2.38%
Kelly -9.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.68%72.66%73.02%74.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.211.281.291.3382.64%78.16%77.52%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 16.86%5.93cote équitable
EV +1.85%
Avantage +0.306%
Kelly +0.366%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 6.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.52%16.99%16.85%19.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.755.425.506.0421.05%18.45%18.18%16.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Colchester United (Local) : 10.33% ; Southampton (Visiteur) : 72.81% ; Match nul : 16.86%. Pour Colchester United (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 9.68. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 10.50, soit une espérance positive de +8.44%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.12%EV +8.44%E +0.803%K +0.888%G +0.075%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.23%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.65%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.641%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 16:24
Marathon Bet🎯10.25I 9.76%NM 9.11%EV +5.85%E +0.571%K +0.633%G +0.037%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -8.26%E -6.55%K -31.76%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.82%EV -6.42%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 16:20
betano_uk🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.641%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 12:04
SportsBet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.20%E -0.379%K -0.458%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 16:14
BoyleSports🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 12:15
NordicBet🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV +1.21%E +0.123%K +0.137%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -16.53%E -3.34%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 16:09
Betsson🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV +1.21%E +0.123%K +0.137%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -16.53%E -3.34%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 16:09
Coolbet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 15:19
Betr (AU)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 15:20
Unibet (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 16:24
FanDuel🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -9.71%E -7.83%K -40.48%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -0.514%E -0.087%K -0.105%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 16:24
PlayUp🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.21%EV -6.80%E -5.31%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -19.91%E -4.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 16:20
Paddy Power🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -11.17%E -9.16%K -50.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 16:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -11.17%E -9.16%K -50.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 16:19
Pinnacle🎯9.37I 10.67%NM 10.11%EV -3.23%E -0.345%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.40%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.50%EV -3.21%E -0.560%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 16:15
William Hill🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -7.05%E -0.784%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 16:04
theScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.641%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 16:25
betPARX🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:24
Unibet (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:25
Grosvenor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:24
Casumo🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:25
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:25
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:24
888sport🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 12:09
888sport (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 12:09
Betway🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.641%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 16:20
Sky Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.68%EV -11.17%E -9.16%K -50.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -11.47%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 16:13
BetMGM🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.49%EV -14.80%E -1.79%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.16%E -2.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 09:50
NetBet (FR)🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 10.70%EV -14.80%E -1.79%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 72.95%EV -11.90%E -9.83%K -56.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.13%EV -15.32%E -1.87%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.31%EV -6.80%E -5.31%K -24.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 16:24
BetOnline.ag🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.13%EV -15.32%E -1.87%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.31%EV -6.80%E -5.31%K -24.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 16:25
Coral🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -3.16%E -2.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -3.16%E -2.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 09:50
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 15:55
LeoVegas🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -11.47%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -9.71%E -7.83%K -40.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -9.71%E -7.83%K -40.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 16:24
PMU (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -9.71%E -7.83%K -40.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -19.96%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -3.89%E -2.95%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 09:50
Neds🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -19.96%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -3.89%E -2.95%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 09:50
Bovada🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.84%EV -19.96%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.16%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 16:18
Winamax (DE)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.75%EV -19.96%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.27%EV -8.26%E -6.55%K -31.76%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.98%EV -3.89%E -0.682%K -0.827%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 16:24
1xBet🎯7.56I 13.23%NM 12.40%EV -21.93%E -2.90%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.09%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.52%EV +1.85%E +0.306%K +0.366%G +0.007%6.7%2026-08-08 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -22.55%E -3.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 16:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.39%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40%1.5%2026-08-08 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.39%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40%1.5%2026-08-08 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.39%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40%1.5%2026-08-08 16:25
Matchbook12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.39%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40%1.5%2026-08-08 16:25