StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Colchester United v Southampton

Matchstart: 2026-08-08 16:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Colchester United 0–2 Southampton

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Colchester United (Hemma)

Prognos 10.33%9.68rättvist odds
EV +8.44%
Fördel +0.803%
Kelly +0.888%
Tillväxt +0.075%

med antagandet om högsta odds 10.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
9.11%10.34%10.13%12.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
7.508.718.5010.5013.33%11.48%11.76%9.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Southampton (Borta)

Prognos 72.81%1.37rättvist odds
EV -3.16%
Fördel -2.38%
Kelly -9.58%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
70.68%72.66%73.02%74.60%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.211.281.291.3382.64%78.16%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 16.86%5.93rättvist odds
EV +1.85%
Fördel +0.306%
Kelly +0.366%
Tillväxt +0.007%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.04

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.52%16.99%16.85%19.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.755.425.506.0421.05%18.45%18.18%16.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Colchester United (Hemma): 10.33%; Southampton (Borta): 72.81%; Oavgjort: 16.86%. För Colchester United (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 9.68. 7 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 10.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +8.44%.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Bet Victor🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.12%EV +8.44%E +0.803%K +0.888%G +0.075%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.23%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.65%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.641%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 16:24
Marathon Bet🎯10.25I 9.76%NM 9.11%EV +5.85%E +0.571%K +0.633%G +0.037%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -8.26%E -6.55%K -31.76%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.82%EV -6.42%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 16:20
betano_uk🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.641%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 12:04
SportsBet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.20%E -0.379%K -0.458%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 16:14
BoyleSports🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 12:15
NordicBet🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV +1.21%E +0.123%K +0.137%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -16.53%E -3.34%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 16:09
Betsson🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV +1.21%E +0.123%K +0.137%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -16.53%E -3.34%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 16:09
Coolbet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 15:19
Betr (AU)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 15:20
Unibet (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 16:24
FanDuel🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -9.71%E -7.83%K -40.48%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -0.514%E -0.087%K -0.105%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 16:24
PlayUp🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.21%EV -6.80%E -5.31%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -19.91%E -4.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 16:20
Paddy Power🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -11.17%E -9.16%K -50.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 16:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -11.17%E -9.16%K -50.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 16:19
Pinnacle🎯9.37I 10.67%NM 10.11%EV -3.23%E -0.345%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.40%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.50%EV -3.21%E -0.560%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 16:15
William Hill🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -7.05%E -0.784%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 16:04
theScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.641%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 16:25
betPARX🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:24
Unibet (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:25
Grosvenor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:24
Casumo🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:25
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:25
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:24
888sport🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 12:09
888sport (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 12:09
Betway🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.641%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 16:20
Sky Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.68%EV -11.17%E -9.16%K -50.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -11.47%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 16:13
BetMGM🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.49%EV -14.80%E -1.79%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.16%E -2.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 09:50
NetBet (FR)🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 10.70%EV -14.80%E -1.79%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 72.95%EV -11.90%E -9.83%K -56.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.13%EV -15.32%E -1.87%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.31%EV -6.80%E -5.31%K -24.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 16:24
BetOnline.ag🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.13%EV -15.32%E -1.87%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.31%EV -6.80%E -5.31%K -24.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 16:25
Coral🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -3.16%E -2.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -3.16%E -2.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 09:50
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 15:55
LeoVegas🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -11.47%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -9.71%E -7.83%K -40.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -9.71%E -7.83%K -40.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 16:24
PMU (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -9.71%E -7.83%K -40.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -19.96%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -3.89%E -2.95%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 09:50
Neds🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -19.96%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -3.89%E -2.95%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 09:50
Bovada🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.84%EV -19.96%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.16%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 16:18
Winamax (DE)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.75%EV -19.96%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.27%EV -8.26%E -6.55%K -31.76%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.98%EV -3.89%E -0.682%K -0.827%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 16:24
1xBet🎯7.56I 13.23%NM 12.40%EV -21.93%E -2.90%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.09%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.52%EV +1.85%E +0.306%K +0.366%G +0.007%6.7%2026-08-08 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -22.55%E -3.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 16:24
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.39%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40%1.5%2026-08-08 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.39%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40%1.5%2026-08-08 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.39%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40%1.5%2026-08-08 16:25
Matchbook12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.39%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40%1.5%2026-08-08 16:25