语言:简体中文
Colchester United v Southampton
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Colchester United (主队)
预测 10.33%9.68公平赔率
EV +8.44%
优势 +0.803%
Kelly +0.888%
增长率 +0.075%
假设最高赔率为 10.50
博彩公司预测分布
9.11%10.34%10.13%12.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.508.718.5010.5013.33%11.48%11.76%9.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
Southampton (客队)
预测 72.81%1.37公平赔率
EV -3.16%
优势 -2.38%
Kelly -9.58%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.33
博彩公司预测分布
70.68%72.66%73.02%74.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.211.281.291.3382.64%78.16%77.52%75.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 16.86%5.93公平赔率
EV +1.85%
优势 +0.306%
Kelly +0.366%
增长率 +0.007%
假设最高赔率为 6.04
博彩公司预测分布
15.52%16.99%16.85%19.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.755.425.506.0421.05%18.45%18.18%16.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Colchester United (主队)：10.33%；Southampton (客队)：72.81%；平局：16.86%。 对于“Colchester United (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.68。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为10.50，对应+8.44%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.12%EV +8.44%E +0.803%K +0.888%G +0.075% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.23%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.65%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.11%EV +5.85%E +0.571%K +0.633%G +0.037% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -8.26%E -6.55%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.82%EV -6.42%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 12:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.20%E -0.379%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 16:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 12:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV +1.21%E +0.123%K +0.137%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -16.53%E -3.34%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 16:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV +1.21%E +0.123%K +0.137%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -16.53%E -3.34%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 16:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -9.71%E -7.83%K -40.48%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -0.514%E -0.087%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.21%EV -6.80%E -5.31%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -19.91%E -4.19%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -11.17%E -9.16%K -50.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 16:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -11.17%E -9.16%K -50.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 16:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.37I 10.67%NM 10.11%EV -3.23%E -0.345%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.40%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.50%EV -3.21%E -0.560%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 16:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -7.05%E -0.784%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 16:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 12:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 12:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.68%EV -11.17%E -9.16%K -50.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -11.47%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 16:13 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.49%EV -14.80%E -1.79%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.16%E -2.38%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.70%EV -14.80%E -1.79%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.95%EV -11.90%E -9.83%K -56.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.13%EV -15.32%E -1.87%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.31%EV -6.80%E -5.31%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.13%EV -15.32%E -1.87%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.31%EV -6.80%E -5.31%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -3.16%E -2.38%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -3.16%E -2.38%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 15:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -11.47%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -9.71%E -7.83%K -40.48%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -9.71%E -7.83%K -40.48%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -9.71%E -7.83%K -40.48%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -12.32%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -19.96%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -3.89%E -2.95%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -19.96%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -3.89%E -2.95%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.84%EV -19.96%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.16%EV -6.07%E -4.71%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 16:18 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.75%EV -19.96%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.27%EV -8.26%E -6.55%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.98%EV -3.89%E -0.682%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.56I 13.23%NM 12.40%EV -21.93%E -2.90%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.09%EV -5.35%E -4.11%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 6.04I 16.56%NM 15.52%EV +1.85%E +0.306%K +0.366%G +0.007% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -22.55%E -3.01%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -8.99%E -7.19%K -35.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.39% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.39% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.39% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.21% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.39% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |