The School of OddsBurnley v Notts County
Head to Head
Option 1: Burnley (Local)
Odds
1.5066.67%Min
1.5564.70%Mean
1.5564.52%Median
1.5962.89%Max
Consensus probabilities
58.24%1.717Min
60.88%1.642Max
59.37%1.684Mean
59.64%1.677Median
59.64%1.677IQM
59.52%1.680Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.59 under the IQM model: 59.64%
EV -5.17%Edge -3.25%Kelly -8.76%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Notts County (Visit)
Odds
4.7521.05%Min
5.1519.40%Mean
5.2019.23%Median
5.5018.18%Max
Consensus probabilities
16.94%5.904Min
18.90%5.292Max
17.78%5.626Mean
17.77%5.627Median
17.77%5.627IQM
17.68%5.656Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 5.50 under the IQM model: 17.77%
EV -2.25%Edge -0.410%Kelly -0.501%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.7027.03%Min
3.8625.93%Mean
3.7027.03%Median
4.2023.81%Max
Consensus probabilities
22.18%4.509Min
24.40%4.099Max
22.85%4.376Mean
22.59%4.427Median
22.59%4.427IQM
22.80%4.386Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.20 under the IQM model: 22.59%
EV -5.13%Edge -1.22%Kelly -1.60%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Burnley (Local) ▼ | Notts County (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50% NM 60.13%EV -4.57% E -2.86% K -7.62% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.49%EV -2.25% E -0.410% K -0.501% G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26% NM 22.37%EV -2.88% E -0.669% K -0.871% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-26 11:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89% NM 58.92%EV -5.17% E -3.25% K -8.76% G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35% NM 17.19%EV -3.14% E -0.577% K -0.706% G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51% NM 23.90%EV -11.46% E -2.92% K -3.92% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-03 01:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.58I 63.29% NM 59.63%EV -5.77% E -3.65% K -9.94% G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05% NM 17.94%EV -6.70% E -1.28% K -1.58% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.43%EV -5.13% E -1.22% K -1.60% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 02:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69% NM 58.93%EV -6.36% E -4.05% K -11.16% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.50%EV -11.14% E -2.23% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.57%EV -7.39% E -1.80% K -2.38% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 11:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69% NM 58.60%EV -6.36% E -4.05% K -11.16% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.40%EV -11.14% E -2.23% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.00%EV -9.65% E -2.41% K -3.22% G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-26 11:48 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69% NM 58.60%EV -6.36% E -4.05% K -11.16% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.40%EV -11.14% E -2.23% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.00%EV -9.65% E -2.41% K -3.22% G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-26 14:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.55I 64.52% NM 59.18%EV -7.56% E -4.88% K -13.74% G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87% NM 17.31%EV -5.81% E -1.10% K -1.35% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 23.52%EV -11.91% E -3.05% K -4.11% G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-02 10:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.55I 64.52% NM 58.24%EV -7.56% E -4.88% K -13.74% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 17.36%EV -7.59% E -1.46% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.40%EV -16.43% E -4.44% K -6.08% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 05:19 |
| betPARX | 1.55I 64.52% NM 58.24%EV -7.56% E -4.88% K -13.74% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 17.36%EV -7.59% E -1.46% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.40%EV -16.43% E -4.44% K -6.08% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 08:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.55I 64.52% NM 58.24%EV -7.56% E -4.88% K -13.74% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 17.36%EV -7.59% E -1.46% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.40%EV -16.43% E -4.44% K -6.08% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 08:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52% NM 58.24%EV -7.56% E -4.88% K -13.74% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 17.36%EV -7.59% E -1.46% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.40%EV -16.43% E -4.44% K -6.08% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 08:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52% NM 58.24%EV -7.56% E -4.88% K -13.74% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 17.36%EV -7.59% E -1.46% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.40%EV -16.43% E -4.44% K -6.08% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.55I 64.52% NM 58.24%EV -7.56% E -4.88% K -13.74% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 17.36%EV -7.59% E -1.46% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.40%EV -16.43% E -4.44% K -6.08% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.55I 64.52% NM 58.24%EV -7.56% E -4.88% K -13.74% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 17.36%EV -7.59% E -1.46% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.40%EV -16.43% E -4.44% K -6.08% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.55I 64.52% NM 58.24%EV -7.56% E -4.88% K -13.74% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 17.36%EV -7.59% E -1.46% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.40%EV -16.43% E -4.44% K -6.08% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| Casumo | 1.55I 64.52% NM 58.24%EV -7.56% E -4.88% K -13.74% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 17.36%EV -7.59% E -1.46% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.40%EV -16.43% E -4.44% K -6.08% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.55I 64.52% NM 58.24%EV -7.56% E -4.88% K -13.74% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 17.36%EV -7.59% E -1.46% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.40%EV -16.43% E -4.44% K -6.08% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.55I 64.52% NM 58.24%EV -7.56% E -4.88% K -13.74% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 17.36%EV -7.59% E -1.46% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.40%EV -16.43% E -4.44% K -6.08% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.55I 64.52% NM 58.24%EV -7.56% E -4.88% K -13.74% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 17.36%EV -7.59% E -1.46% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.40%EV -16.43% E -4.44% K -6.08% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 08:39 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52% NM 58.24%EV -7.56% E -4.88% K -13.74% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 17.36%EV -7.59% E -1.46% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.40%EV -16.43% E -4.44% K -6.08% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-30 08:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36% NM 60.88%EV -8.75% E -5.72% K -16.51% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.94%EV -2.25% E -0.410% K -0.501% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.18%EV -5.13% E -1.22% K -1.60% G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-26 14:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36% NM 58.66%EV -8.75% E -5.72% K -16.51% G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05% NM 18.90%EV -15.58% E -3.28% K -4.16% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.44%EV -9.65% E -2.41% K -3.22% G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-27 15:10 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67% NM 59.70%EV -10.54% E -7.03% K -21.08% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.91%EV -11.14% E -2.23% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.39%EV -9.65% E -2.41% K -3.22% G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-30 14:00 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67% NM 59.70%EV -10.54% E -7.03% K -21.08% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.91%EV -11.14% E -2.23% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.39%EV -9.65% E -2.41% K -3.22% G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67% NM 59.70%EV -10.54% E -7.03% K -21.08% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.91%EV -11.14% E -2.23% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.39%EV -9.65% E -2.41% K -3.22% G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67% NM 59.70%EV -10.54% E -7.03% K -21.08% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.91%EV -11.14% E -2.23% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.39%EV -9.65% E -2.41% K -3.22% G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-30 14:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Burnley (Local) | Notts County (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.01I 99.01% | 191.3% | 2026-06-26 11:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.01I 99.01% | 191.3% | 2026-06-26 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.01I 99.01% | 191.3% | 2026-06-26 12:09 |