语言:简体中文
Burnley v Notts County
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Burnley (主队)
预测 69.45%1.44公平赔率
EV -2.76%
优势 -1.97%
Kelly -6.91%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.40
博彩公司预测分布
66.19%69.43%69.26%72.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.251.341.351.4080.00%74.58%74.07%71.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
Notts County (客队)
预测 11.41%8.77公平赔率
EV +11.23%
优势 +1.15%
Kelly +1.28%
增长率 +0.144%
假设最高赔率为 9.75
博彩公司预测分布
9.64%11.45%11.45%13.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.807.857.509.7514.71%12.73%13.33%10.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 19.14%5.23公平赔率
EV +1.05%
优势 +0.199%
Kelly +0.245%
增长率 +0.003%
假设最高赔率为 5.28
博彩公司预测分布
17.68%19.12%19.29%21.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.304.764.705.2823.26%21.02%21.28%18.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Burnley (主队)：69.45%；Notts County (客队)：11.41%；平局：19.14%。 对于“Notts County (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.77。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为9.75，对应+11.23%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.29%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV +11.23%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.144% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -0.482%E -0.093%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.21%EV -9.02%E -6.88%K -29.08%G +0.000% | 9.58I 10.44%NM 9.87%EV +9.29%E +0.970%K +1.08%G +0.101% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 17.92%EV +1.05%E +0.199%K +0.245%G +0.003% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV +0.475%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV +0.475%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.87%EV -10.40%E -8.07%K -35.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.83%EV -0.482%E -0.093%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -13.18%E -10.55%K -52.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.64%EV -8.32%E -6.30%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.72%EV -0.748%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.40%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 8.51I 11.75%NM 11.01%EV -2.92%E -0.343%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -12.92%E -2.84%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -3.03%E -0.356%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV +0.475%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -3.03%E -0.356%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -9.09%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.79%EV -10.40%E -8.07%K -35.88%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -9.09%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:57 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.69%EV -11.79%E -9.29%K -43.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.24%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV -9.87%E -1.25%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -14.84%E -3.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV -9.87%E -1.25%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -14.84%E -3.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.90%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.60%EV -9.87%E -1.25%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.22%EV -11.59%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.15%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.09%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.12%EV -11.59%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.09%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.09%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.88%E -3.08%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.94%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -17.71%E -4.12%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.19%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 13:58 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.00%EV -6.93%E -5.17%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.85%EV -6.93%E -5.17%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.18%EV -8.32%E -6.30%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.15%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.18%EV -8.32%E -6.30%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.15%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.18%EV -8.32%E -6.30%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.15%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.02%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.31%EV -22.42%E -3.30%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.02%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.31%EV -22.42%E -3.30%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.18% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.18% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.18% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.87% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |