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Burnley v Notts County
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Burnley (Хозяева)
Прогноз 69.45%1.44справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.76%
Преимущество -1.97%
Kelly -6.91%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
66.19%69.43%69.26%72.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.251.341.351.4080.00%74.58%74.07%71.43%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Notts County (Гости)
Прогноз 11.41%8.77справедливый коэффициент
EV +11.23%
Преимущество +1.15%
Kelly +1.28%
Рост +0.144%
при максимальном коэффициенте 9.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
9.64%11.45%11.45%13.31%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
6.807.857.509.7514.71%12.73%13.33%10.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 19.14%5.23справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.05%
Преимущество +0.199%
Kelly +0.245%
Рост +0.003%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.28
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.68%19.12%19.29%21.01%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.304.764.705.2823.26%21.02%21.28%18.94%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Burnley (Хозяева): 69.45%; Notts County (Гости): 11.41%; Ничья: 19.14%. Для исхода «Notts County (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 8.77. 7 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 9.75, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +11.23%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.29%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV +11.23%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.144% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -0.482%E -0.093%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.21%EV -9.02%E -6.88%K -29.08%G +0.000% | 9.58I 10.44%NM 9.87%EV +9.29%E +0.970%K +1.08%G +0.101% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 17.92%EV +1.05%E +0.199%K +0.245%G +0.003% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV +0.475%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV +0.475%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.87%EV -10.40%E -8.07%K -35.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.83%EV -0.482%E -0.093%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -13.18%E -10.55%K -52.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.64%EV -8.32%E -6.30%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.72%EV -0.748%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.40%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 8.51I 11.75%NM 11.01%EV -2.92%E -0.343%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -12.92%E -2.84%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -3.03%E -0.356%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV +0.475%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -3.03%E -0.356%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -9.09%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.79%EV -10.40%E -8.07%K -35.88%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -9.09%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:57 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.69%EV -11.79%E -9.29%K -43.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.24%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV -9.87%E -1.25%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -14.84%E -3.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV -9.87%E -1.25%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -14.84%E -3.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.90%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.60%EV -9.87%E -1.25%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.22%EV -11.59%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.15%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.09%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.12%EV -11.59%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.09%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.09%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.88%E -3.08%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.94%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -17.71%E -4.12%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.19%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 13:58 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.00%EV -6.93%E -5.17%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.85%EV -6.93%E -5.17%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.18%EV -8.32%E -6.30%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.15%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.18%EV -8.32%E -6.30%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.15%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.18%EV -8.32%E -6.30%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.15%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.02%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.31%EV -22.42%E -3.30%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.02%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.31%EV -22.42%E -3.30%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.18% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.18% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.18% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.87% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |