Idioma:Español
Burnley v Notts County
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Burnley (Local)
Predicción 69.45%1.44momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -1.97%
Kelly -6.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.19%69.43%69.26%72.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.341.351.4080.00%74.58%74.07%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Notts County (Visitante)
Predicción 11.41%8.77momio equitativo
EV +11.23%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +1.28%
Crecimiento +0.144%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.64%11.45%11.45%13.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.807.857.509.7514.71%12.73%13.33%10.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 19.14%5.23momio equitativo
EV +1.05%
Ventaja +0.199%
Kelly +0.245%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.68%19.12%19.29%21.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.304.764.705.2823.26%21.02%21.28%18.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Burnley (Local): 69.45%; Notts County (Visitante): 11.41%; Empate: 19.14%. Para Notts County (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 8.77. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 9.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +11.23%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.29%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV +11.23%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.144% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -0.482%E -0.093%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.21%EV -9.02%E -6.88%K -29.08%G +0.000% | 9.58I 10.44%NM 9.87%EV +9.29%E +0.970%K +1.08%G +0.101% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 17.92%EV +1.05%E +0.199%K +0.245%G +0.003% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV +0.475%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV +0.475%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.87%EV -10.40%E -8.07%K -35.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.83%EV -0.482%E -0.093%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -13.18%E -10.55%K -52.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.64%EV -8.32%E -6.30%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.72%EV -0.748%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.40%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 8.51I 11.75%NM 11.01%EV -2.92%E -0.343%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -12.92%E -2.84%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -3.03%E -0.356%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV +0.475%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -3.03%E -0.356%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -9.09%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.79%EV -10.40%E -8.07%K -35.88%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -9.09%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:57 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.69%EV -11.79%E -9.29%K -43.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.24%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV -9.87%E -1.25%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -14.84%E -3.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV -9.87%E -1.25%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -14.84%E -3.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.90%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.60%EV -9.87%E -1.25%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.22%EV -11.59%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.15%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.09%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.12%EV -11.59%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.09%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.09%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.88%E -3.08%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.94%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -17.71%E -4.12%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.19%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 13:58 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.00%EV -6.93%E -5.17%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.85%EV -6.93%E -5.17%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.18%EV -8.32%E -6.30%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.15%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.18%EV -8.32%E -6.30%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.15%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.18%EV -8.32%E -6.30%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.15%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.02%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.31%EV -22.42%E -3.30%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.02%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.31%EV -22.42%E -3.30%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.18% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.18% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.18% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.87% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |