Langue:Français
Burnley v Notts County
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Burnley (Local)
Prévision 69.45%1.44cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -1.97%
Kelly -6.91%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.19%69.43%69.26%72.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.341.351.4080.00%74.58%74.07%71.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Notts County (Visiteur)
Prévision 11.41%8.77cote équitable
EV +11.23%
Avantage +1.15%
Kelly +1.28%
Croissance +0.144%
avec la cote maximale 9.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.64%11.45%11.45%13.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.807.857.509.7514.71%12.73%13.33%10.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 19.14%5.23cote équitable
EV +1.05%
Avantage +0.199%
Kelly +0.245%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 5.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.68%19.12%19.29%21.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.304.764.705.2823.26%21.02%21.28%18.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Burnley (Local) : 69.45% ; Notts County (Visiteur) : 11.41% ; Match nul : 19.14%. Pour Notts County (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.77. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.75, soit une espérance positive de +11.23%.
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.29%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV +11.23%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.144% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -0.482%E -0.093%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.21%EV -9.02%E -6.88%K -29.08%G +0.000% | 9.58I 10.44%NM 9.87%EV +9.29%E +0.970%K +1.08%G +0.101% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 17.92%EV +1.05%E +0.199%K +0.245%G +0.003% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV +0.475%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV +0.475%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.87%EV -10.40%E -8.07%K -35.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.83%EV -0.482%E -0.093%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -13.18%E -10.55%K -52.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.64%EV -8.32%E -6.30%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.72%EV -0.748%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.40%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 8.51I 11.75%NM 11.01%EV -2.92%E -0.343%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -12.92%E -2.84%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -3.03%E -0.356%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV +0.475%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -3.03%E -0.356%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -9.09%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.79%EV -10.40%E -8.07%K -35.88%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -9.09%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:57 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.69%EV -11.79%E -9.29%K -43.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.24%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV -9.87%E -1.25%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -14.84%E -3.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV -9.87%E -1.25%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -14.84%E -3.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.90%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.60%EV -9.87%E -1.25%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.22%EV -11.59%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.15%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.09%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.12%EV -11.59%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.09%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.09%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.88%E -3.08%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.94%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -17.71%E -4.12%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.19%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 13:58 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.00%EV -6.93%E -5.17%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.85%EV -6.93%E -5.17%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.18%EV -8.32%E -6.30%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.15%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.18%EV -8.32%E -6.30%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.15%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.18%EV -8.32%E -6.30%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.15%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.02%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.31%EV -22.42%E -3.30%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.02%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.31%EV -22.42%E -3.30%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.18% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.18% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.18% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.87% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |