L’École des cotes

Burnley v Notts County

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Burnley (Local)

Prévision 59.13%1.69cote équitable
EV -4.80%
Avantage -2.98%
Kelly -7.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.70%59.10%59.08%62.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.461.551.551.6168.49%64.57%64.52%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Notts County (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.83%5.61cote équitable
EV +1.62%
Avantage +0.285%
Kelly +0.345%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 5.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.19%17.89%17.79%20.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.305.145.205.7023.26%19.46%19.23%17.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.04%4.34cote équitable
EV -0.911%
Avantage -0.212%
Kelly -0.276%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.46%23.01%23.13%24.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.703.913.904.3027.03%25.58%25.64%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.56%EV -10.13%E -6.66%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV +1.62%E +0.285%K +0.345%G +0.006%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.06%E -0.486%K -0.635%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 14:30
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.35%EV -12.49%E -8.44%K -26.02%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV +1.62%E +0.285%K +0.345%G +0.006%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -0.911%E -0.212%K -0.276%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 14:30
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.17%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV +0.731%E +0.129%K +0.157%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 22:05
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.54I 18.05%NM 16.91%EV -1.23%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 10:23
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.94%E -0.353%K -0.432%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -3.22%E -0.766%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 14:29
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.94%E -0.353%K -0.432%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -3.22%E -0.766%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 14:30
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.54%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -3.73%E -0.690%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -8.98%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 14:00
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.54%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -3.73%E -0.690%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -8.98%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 14:00
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.17%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -6.40%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -3.22%E -0.766%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 08:05
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -5.40%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -6.40%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -3.22%E -0.766%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 08:03
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -5.40%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -6.40%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -3.22%E -0.766%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 08:04
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -6.58%E -4.16%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -6.40%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.22%E -0.766%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 14:45
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -6.40%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 09:04
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -6.40%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 09:05
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 59.27%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 17.76%EV -6.58%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.98%EV -6.67%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.20%EV -6.58%E -4.16%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -7.29%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 08:05
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 59.20%EV -6.58%E -4.16%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -7.29%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 08:05
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -10.13%E -6.66%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -7.29%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -3.22%E -0.766%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 14:29
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 58.24%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.36%EV -7.29%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 58.24%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.36%EV -7.29%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.24%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.36%EV -7.29%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.24%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.36%EV -7.29%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.24%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.36%EV -7.29%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 58.24%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.36%EV -7.29%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.24%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.36%EV -7.29%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.24%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.36%EV -7.29%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 58.24%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.36%EV -7.29%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.24%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.36%EV -7.29%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 58.24%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.36%EV -7.29%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 58.24%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.36%EV -7.29%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.24%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.36%EV -7.29%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.24%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.36%EV -7.29%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-16 14:05
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.86%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 10:54
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -7.76%E -4.97%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.86%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 08:01
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.86%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 08:04
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.86%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 19:20
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.86%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 08:05
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.86%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 08:10
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.86%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 08:10
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.94%EV -12.49%E -8.44%K -26.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.80%EV -12.64%E -2.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -13.59%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-22 13:34
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -15.31%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-25 11:04
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -15.31%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-22 10:54
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.21%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.40%EV -19.77%E -4.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-22 15:39
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 55.70%EV -5.99%E -3.77%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.36%EV -22.45%E -5.16%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-23 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 55.70%EV -5.99%E -3.77%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.36%EV -22.45%E -5.16%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-23 11:30
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 57.67%EV -13.67%E -9.37%K -29.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.58%EV -23.34%E -5.43%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.75%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-22 15:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%6.3%2026-07-25 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%6.3%2026-07-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%6.3%2026-07-25 16:30