Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Burnley v Notts County

Początek: 2026-08-08 14:01 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Burnley 1–1 Notts County

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

49 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Burnley (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 69.45%1.44kurs godziwy
EV -2.76%
Przewaga -1.97%
Kelly -6.91%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
66.19%69.43%69.26%72.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.251.341.351.4080.00%74.58%74.07%71.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Notts County (Goście)

Prognoza 11.41%8.77kurs godziwy
EV +11.23%
Przewaga +1.15%
Kelly +1.28%
Wzrost +0.144%

przy maksymalnym kursie 9.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
9.64%11.45%11.45%13.31%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
6.807.857.509.7514.71%12.73%13.33%10.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 19.14%5.23kurs godziwy
EV +1.05%
Przewaga +0.199%
Kelly +0.245%
Wzrost +0.003%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.28

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
17.68%19.12%19.29%21.01%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.304.764.705.2823.26%21.02%21.28%18.94%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Burnley (Gospodarze): 69.45%; Notts County (Goście): 11.41%; Remis: 19.14%. Dla wyniku Notts County (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 8.77. 7 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 9.75, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +11.23%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (49 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.29%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.37%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV +11.23%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.144%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -0.482%E -0.093%K -0.115%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 13:59
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.21%EV -9.02%E -6.88%K -29.08%G +0.000%9.58I 10.44%NM 9.87%EV +9.29%E +0.970%K +1.08%G +0.101%5.28I 18.94%NM 17.92%EV +1.05%E +0.199%K +0.245%G +0.003%5.7%2026-08-08 13:59
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV +0.475%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001%5.3%2026-08-08 13:49
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV +0.475%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001%5.3%2026-08-08 13:59
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 13:44
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.87%EV -10.40%E -8.07%K -35.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.83%EV -0.482%E -0.093%K -0.115%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:59
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -13.18%E -10.55%K -52.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV +2.67%E +0.297%K +0.334%G +0.009%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.64%EV -8.32%E -6.30%K -26.00%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.72%EV -0.748%E -0.086%K -0.097%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:54
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.40%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.51I 11.75%NM 11.01%EV -2.92%E -0.343%K -0.388%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -12.92%E -2.84%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 13:58
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -3.03%E -0.356%K -0.404%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV +0.475%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001%7.7%2026-08-08 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -3.03%E -0.356%K -0.404%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:45
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -9.09%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 14:00
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:34
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 13:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 13:34
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.79%EV -10.40%E -8.07%K -35.88%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -9.09%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 13:57
NetBet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.69%EV -11.79%E -9.29%K -43.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -8.73%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.24%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 13:59
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV -9.87%E -1.25%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -14.84%E -3.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:50
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV -9.87%E -1.25%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -14.84%E -3.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:50
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.90%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.60%EV -9.87%E -1.25%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.22%EV -11.59%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.15%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 13:49
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.09%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.12%EV -11.59%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:55
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:54
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.09%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:40
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.09%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:59
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:59
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 14:00
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 14:00
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.05%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 14:00
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.88%E -3.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 13:44
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.94%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -14.44%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -17.71%E -4.12%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 13:54
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.19%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 13:58
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.00%EV -6.93%E -5.17%K -20.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 13:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.85%EV -6.93%E -5.17%K -20.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.18%EV -8.32%E -6.30%K -26.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.15%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.18%EV -8.32%E -6.30%K -26.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.15%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.18%EV -8.32%E -6.30%K -26.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -20.14%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.15%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.02%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.31%EV -22.42%E -3.30%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.02%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.31%EV -22.42%E -3.30%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 13:59
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.18%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-08-08 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.18%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-08-08 14:00
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 73.18%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.87%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%0.9%2026-08-08 14:00