Школа коэффициентов

Peñarol Montevideo v Platense

Начало: 2026-04-17 00:32 UTC

Итог: Peñarol Montevideo 1–2 Platense

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

40 букмекерских контор (12 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Peñarol Montevideo (Хозяева)

Прогноз 46.85%2.13справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.96%
Преимущество -1.93%
Kelly -3.77%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.05

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
45.42%47.17%46.78%50.72%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.741.921.922.0557.47%52.17%51.95%48.78%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Platense (Гости)

Прогноз 21.09%4.74справедливый коэффициент
EV +7.57%
Преимущество +1.48%
Kelly +1.85%
Рост +0.140%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.12%20.89%21.13%22.38%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.054.584.555.1024.69%21.86%21.98%19.61%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 32.06%3.12справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.20%
Преимущество +1.29%
Kelly +1.87%
Рост +0.078%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.94%31.94%32.09%32.85%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.632.932.913.2538.02%34.08%34.36%30.77%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (40 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.70%EV -9.59%E -4.97%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.19%EV +7.57%E +1.48%K +1.85%G +0.140%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +4.20%E +1.29%K +1.87%G +0.078%2.2%2026-04-17 00:29
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.30%EV -6.77%E -3.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.34%EV +4.82%E +0.971%K +1.22%G +0.059%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.36%EV -4.78%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 00:29
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -12.40%E -6.63%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV +3.35%E +0.683%K +0.858%G +0.029%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV +0.994%E +0.316%K +0.462%G +0.005%5.6%2026-04-17 00:23
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.52%EV -12.86%E -6.92%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.18%EV +3.35%E +0.683%K +0.858%G +0.029%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -0.609%E -0.196%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 00:30
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -13.33%E -7.21%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +3.35%E +0.683%K +0.858%G +0.029%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -0.609%E -0.196%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -13.33%E -7.21%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +3.35%E +0.683%K +0.858%G +0.029%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -0.609%E -0.196%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 00:30
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.16%EV +2.93%E +0.600%K +0.754%G +0.022%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.90%EV -6.06%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 00:29
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 48.47%EV -5.84%E -2.90%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 20.00%EV +2.71%E +0.557%K +0.702%G +0.019%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.53%EV -0.930%E -0.301%K -0.445%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-17 00:29
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -14.27%E -7.80%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV +1.24%E +0.258%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -0.609%E -0.196%K -0.290%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 00:30
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.01%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV +0.184%E +0.039%K +0.049%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 00:29
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.43%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 00:28
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -11.93%E -6.34%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -2.21%E -0.725%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 00:30
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.40%EV -10.05%E -5.24%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.83%EV -6.38%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 00:29
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.43%EV -15.68%E -8.71%K -19.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 00:29
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.43%EV -15.68%E -8.71%K -19.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 00:29
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.27%EV -1.93%E -0.414%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 00:30
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.16%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -2.98%E -0.648%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 00:30
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.35%EV -10.99%E -5.78%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -2.98%E -0.648%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 00:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -16.61%E -9.33%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -2.98%E -0.648%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 00:30
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.55%EV -18.49%E -10.62%K -24.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -2.98%E -0.648%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-17 00:30
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 00:30
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 00:30
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.75%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.56%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 00:29
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 00:29
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 00:29
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.90%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.77%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 00:30
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 00:30
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 00:30
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 00:30
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.39%EV -3.96%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.37%EV -6.14%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 00:28
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.64%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.20%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 00:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -8.67%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 00:30
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -8.67%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 00:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.20%EV -14.27%E -7.80%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.95%EV -8.67%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -15.68%E -5.96%K -9.62%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-17 00:29
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.40%EV -7.24%E -3.66%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -9.31%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.24%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 00:29
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -8.18%E -4.17%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -9.31%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 00:29
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.64%EV -9.12%E -4.70%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -9.31%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 00:30
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.42%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.53%E -3.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.20%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.41%EV -11.93%E -6.34%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.28%EV -13.53%E -3.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.31%EV -13.43%E -4.98%K -7.90%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-17 00:30
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 46.82%EV -12.86%E -6.92%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.50%EV -14.58%E -3.60%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-17 00:29
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (4)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.35%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.13%0.4%2026-04-17 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.85%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.63%0.5%2026-04-17 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%0.9%2026-04-17 00:30
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.65%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.72%1.9%2026-04-17 00:30