Szkoła Kursów

Peñarol Montevideo v Platense

Początek: 2026-04-17 00:32 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Peñarol Montevideo 1–2 Platense

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

40 bukmacherów (12 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Peñarol Montevideo (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 46.85%2.13kurs godziwy
EV -3.96%
Przewaga -1.93%
Kelly -3.77%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.05

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
45.42%47.17%46.78%50.72%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.741.921.922.0557.47%52.17%51.95%48.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Platense (Goście)

Prognoza 21.09%4.74kurs godziwy
EV +7.57%
Przewaga +1.48%
Kelly +1.85%
Wzrost +0.140%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.12%20.89%21.13%22.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.054.584.555.1024.69%21.86%21.98%19.61%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 32.06%3.12kurs godziwy
EV +4.20%
Przewaga +1.29%
Kelly +1.87%
Wzrost +0.078%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.94%31.94%32.09%32.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.632.932.913.2538.02%34.08%34.36%30.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (40 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.70%EV -9.59%E -4.97%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.19%EV +7.57%E +1.48%K +1.85%G +0.140%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +4.20%E +1.29%K +1.87%G +0.078%2.2%2026-04-17 00:29
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.30%EV -6.77%E -3.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.34%EV +4.82%E +0.971%K +1.22%G +0.059%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.36%EV -4.78%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 00:29
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -12.40%E -6.63%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV +3.35%E +0.683%K +0.858%G +0.029%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV +0.994%E +0.316%K +0.462%G +0.005%5.6%2026-04-17 00:23
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.52%EV -12.86%E -6.92%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.18%EV +3.35%E +0.683%K +0.858%G +0.029%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -0.609%E -0.196%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 00:30
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -13.33%E -7.21%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +3.35%E +0.683%K +0.858%G +0.029%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -0.609%E -0.196%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -13.33%E -7.21%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +3.35%E +0.683%K +0.858%G +0.029%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -0.609%E -0.196%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 00:30
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.16%EV +2.93%E +0.600%K +0.754%G +0.022%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.90%EV -6.06%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 00:29
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 48.47%EV -5.84%E -2.90%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 20.00%EV +2.71%E +0.557%K +0.702%G +0.019%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.53%EV -0.930%E -0.301%K -0.445%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-17 00:29
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -14.27%E -7.80%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV +1.24%E +0.258%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -0.609%E -0.196%K -0.290%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 00:30
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.01%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV +0.184%E +0.039%K +0.049%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 00:29
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.43%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 00:28
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -11.93%E -6.34%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -2.21%E -0.725%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 00:30
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.40%EV -10.05%E -5.24%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.83%EV -6.38%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 00:29
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.43%EV -15.68%E -8.71%K -19.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 00:29
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.43%EV -15.68%E -8.71%K -19.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 00:29
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.27%EV -1.93%E -0.414%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 00:30
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.16%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -2.98%E -0.648%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 00:30
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.35%EV -10.99%E -5.78%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -2.98%E -0.648%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 00:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -16.61%E -9.33%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -2.98%E -0.648%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 00:30
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.55%EV -18.49%E -10.62%K -24.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -2.98%E -0.648%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-17 00:30
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 00:30
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 00:30
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.75%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.56%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 00:29
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 00:29
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 00:29
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.90%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.77%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 00:30
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 00:30
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 00:30
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 00:30
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.39%EV -3.96%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.37%EV -6.14%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 00:28
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.64%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.20%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 00:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -8.67%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 00:30
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -8.67%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 00:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.20%EV -14.27%E -7.80%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.95%EV -8.67%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -15.68%E -5.96%K -9.62%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-17 00:29
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.40%EV -7.24%E -3.66%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -9.31%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.24%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 00:29
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -8.18%E -4.17%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -9.31%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 00:29
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.64%EV -9.12%E -4.70%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -9.31%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 00:30
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.42%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.53%E -3.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.20%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.41%EV -11.93%E -6.34%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.28%EV -13.53%E -3.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.31%EV -13.43%E -4.98%K -7.90%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-17 00:30
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 46.82%EV -12.86%E -6.92%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.50%EV -14.58%E -3.60%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-17 00:29
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.35%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.13%0.4%2026-04-17 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.85%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.63%0.5%2026-04-17 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%0.9%2026-04-17 00:30
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.65%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.72%1.9%2026-04-17 00:30