A Escola das Odds

Peñarol Montevideo v Platense

Início: 2026-04-17 00:32 UTC

Final: Peñarol Montevideo 1–2 Platense

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Peñarol Montevideo (Local)

Previsão 46.85%2.13odd justa
EV -3.96%
Vantagem -1.93%
Kelly -3.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.42%47.17%46.78%50.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.741.921.922.0557.47%52.17%51.95%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Platense (Visitante)

Previsão 21.09%4.74odd justa
EV +7.57%
Vantagem +1.48%
Kelly +1.85%
Crescimento +0.140%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.12%20.89%21.13%22.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.054.584.555.1024.69%21.86%21.98%19.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 32.06%3.12odd justa
EV +4.20%
Vantagem +1.29%
Kelly +1.87%
Crescimento +0.078%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.94%31.94%32.09%32.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.632.932.913.2538.02%34.08%34.36%30.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.70%EV -9.59%E -4.97%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.19%EV +7.57%E +1.48%K +1.85%G +0.140%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +4.20%E +1.29%K +1.87%G +0.078%2.2%2026-04-17 00:29
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.30%EV -6.77%E -3.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.34%EV +4.82%E +0.971%K +1.22%G +0.059%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.36%EV -4.78%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 00:29
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -12.40%E -6.63%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV +3.35%E +0.683%K +0.858%G +0.029%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV +0.994%E +0.316%K +0.462%G +0.005%5.6%2026-04-17 00:23
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.52%EV -12.86%E -6.92%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.18%EV +3.35%E +0.683%K +0.858%G +0.029%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -0.609%E -0.196%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 00:30
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -13.33%E -7.21%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +3.35%E +0.683%K +0.858%G +0.029%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -0.609%E -0.196%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -13.33%E -7.21%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +3.35%E +0.683%K +0.858%G +0.029%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -0.609%E -0.196%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 00:30
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.16%EV +2.93%E +0.600%K +0.754%G +0.022%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.90%EV -6.06%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 00:29
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 48.47%EV -5.84%E -2.90%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 20.00%EV +2.71%E +0.557%K +0.702%G +0.019%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.53%EV -0.930%E -0.301%K -0.445%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-17 00:29
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -14.27%E -7.80%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV +1.24%E +0.258%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -0.609%E -0.196%K -0.290%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 00:30
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.01%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV +0.184%E +0.039%K +0.049%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 00:29
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.43%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 00:28
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -11.93%E -6.34%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -2.21%E -0.725%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 00:30
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.40%EV -10.05%E -5.24%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.83%EV -6.38%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 00:29
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.43%EV -15.68%E -8.71%K -19.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 00:29
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.43%EV -15.68%E -8.71%K -19.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 00:29
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.27%EV -1.93%E -0.414%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 00:30
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.16%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -2.98%E -0.648%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 00:30
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.35%EV -10.99%E -5.78%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -2.98%E -0.648%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 00:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -16.61%E -9.33%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -2.98%E -0.648%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 00:30
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.55%EV -18.49%E -10.62%K -24.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -2.98%E -0.648%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-17 00:30
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 00:30
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 00:30
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.75%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.56%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 00:29
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 00:29
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 00:29
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.90%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.77%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 00:30
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 00:30
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 00:30
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 00:30
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.39%EV -3.96%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.37%EV -6.14%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 00:28
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.64%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.20%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 00:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -8.67%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 00:30
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -8.67%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 00:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.20%EV -14.27%E -7.80%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.95%EV -8.67%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -15.68%E -5.96%K -9.62%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-17 00:29
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.40%EV -7.24%E -3.66%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -9.31%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.24%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 00:29
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -8.18%E -4.17%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -9.31%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 00:29
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.64%EV -9.12%E -4.70%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -9.31%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 00:30
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.42%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.53%E -3.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.20%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.41%EV -11.93%E -6.34%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.28%EV -13.53%E -3.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.31%EV -13.43%E -4.98%K -7.90%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-17 00:30
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 46.82%EV -12.86%E -6.92%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.50%EV -14.58%E -3.60%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-17 00:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.35%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.13%0.4%2026-04-17 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.85%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.63%0.5%2026-04-17 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%0.9%2026-04-17 00:30
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.65%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.72%1.9%2026-04-17 00:30