La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Peñarol Montevideo v Platense
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Peñarol Montevideo (Casa)
Previsione 46.85%2.13quota equa
EV -3.96%
Vantaggio -1.93%
Kelly -3.77%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.42%47.17%46.78%50.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.741.921.922.0557.47%52.17%51.95%48.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Platense (Trasferta)
Previsione 21.09%4.74quota equa
EV +7.57%
Vantaggio +1.48%
Kelly +1.85%
Crescita +0.140%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.12%20.89%21.13%22.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.054.584.555.1024.69%21.86%21.98%19.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 32.06%3.12quota equa
EV +4.20%
Vantaggio +1.29%
Kelly +1.87%
Crescita +0.078%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.94%31.94%32.09%32.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.932.913.2538.02%34.08%34.36%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.70%EV -9.59%E -4.97%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.19%EV +7.57%E +1.48%K +1.85%G +0.140% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +4.20%E +1.29%K +1.87%G +0.078% | 2.2% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.30%EV -6.77%E -3.40%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.34%EV +4.82%E +0.971%K +1.22%G +0.059% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.36%EV -4.78%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -12.40%E -6.63%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV +3.35%E +0.683%K +0.858%G +0.029% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV +0.994%E +0.316%K +0.462%G +0.005% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 00:23 |
| Unibet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.52%EV -12.86%E -6.92%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.18%EV +3.35%E +0.683%K +0.858%G +0.029% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -0.609%E -0.196%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -13.33%E -7.21%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +3.35%E +0.683%K +0.858%G +0.029% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -0.609%E -0.196%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -13.33%E -7.21%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +3.35%E +0.683%K +0.858%G +0.029% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -0.609%E -0.196%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.16%EV +2.93%E +0.600%K +0.754%G +0.022% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.90%EV -6.06%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| GTbets | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.47%EV -5.84%E -2.90%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 20.00%EV +2.71%E +0.557%K +0.702%G +0.019% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.53%EV -0.930%E -0.301%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -14.27%E -7.80%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV +1.24%E +0.258%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -0.609%E -0.196%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.01%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV +0.184%E +0.039%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.43%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 00:28 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -11.93%E -6.34%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -2.21%E -0.725%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.40%EV -10.05%E -5.24%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.83%EV -6.38%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.43%EV -15.68%E -8.71%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.43%EV -15.68%E -8.71%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.27%EV -1.93%E -0.414%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.16%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -2.98%E -0.648%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.35%EV -10.99%E -5.78%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -2.98%E -0.648%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -16.61%E -9.33%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -2.98%E -0.648%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.55%EV -18.49%E -10.62%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -2.98%E -0.648%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.75%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.56%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.90%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.77%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.39%EV -3.96%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.37%EV -6.14%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 00:28 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.64%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.20%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -8.67%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -8.67%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.20%EV -14.27%E -7.80%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.95%EV -8.67%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -15.68%E -5.96%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.40%EV -7.24%E -3.66%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -9.31%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.24%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -8.18%E -4.17%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -9.31%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.64%EV -9.12%E -4.70%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -9.31%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.42%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.53%E -3.30%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.20%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.41%EV -11.93%E -6.34%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.28%EV -13.53%E -3.30%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.31%EV -13.43%E -4.98%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.82%EV -12.86%E -6.92%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.50%EV -14.58%E -3.60%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.35% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.85% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.63% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.65% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.72% | 1.9% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |