Die Schule der Quoten

Peñarol Montevideo v Platense

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-17 00:32 UTC

Endstand: Peñarol Montevideo 1–2 Platense

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

40 Wettanbieter (12 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Peñarol Montevideo (Heim)

Prognose 46.85%2.13faire Quote
EV -3.96%
Vorteil -1.93%
Kelly -3.77%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.05

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
45.42%47.17%46.78%50.72%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.741.921.922.0557.47%52.17%51.95%48.78%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Platense (Auswärts)

Prognose 21.09%4.74faire Quote
EV +7.57%
Vorteil +1.48%
Kelly +1.85%
Wachstum +0.140%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.12%20.89%21.13%22.38%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.054.584.555.1024.69%21.86%21.98%19.61%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 32.06%3.12faire Quote
EV +4.20%
Vorteil +1.29%
Kelly +1.87%
Wachstum +0.078%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.94%31.94%32.09%32.85%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.632.932.913.2538.02%34.08%34.36%30.77%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (40 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.70%EV -9.59%E -4.97%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.19%EV +7.57%E +1.48%K +1.85%G +0.140%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +4.20%E +1.29%K +1.87%G +0.078%2.2%2026-04-17 00:29
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.30%EV -6.77%E -3.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.34%EV +4.82%E +0.971%K +1.22%G +0.059%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.36%EV -4.78%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 00:29
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -12.40%E -6.63%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV +3.35%E +0.683%K +0.858%G +0.029%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV +0.994%E +0.316%K +0.462%G +0.005%5.6%2026-04-17 00:23
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.52%EV -12.86%E -6.92%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.18%EV +3.35%E +0.683%K +0.858%G +0.029%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -0.609%E -0.196%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 00:30
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -13.33%E -7.21%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +3.35%E +0.683%K +0.858%G +0.029%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -0.609%E -0.196%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -13.33%E -7.21%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +3.35%E +0.683%K +0.858%G +0.029%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -0.609%E -0.196%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 00:30
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.16%EV +2.93%E +0.600%K +0.754%G +0.022%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.90%EV -6.06%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 00:29
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 48.47%EV -5.84%E -2.90%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 20.00%EV +2.71%E +0.557%K +0.702%G +0.019%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.53%EV -0.930%E -0.301%K -0.445%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-17 00:29
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -14.27%E -7.80%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV +1.24%E +0.258%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -0.609%E -0.196%K -0.290%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 00:30
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.01%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV +0.184%E +0.039%K +0.049%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 00:29
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.43%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 00:28
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -11.93%E -6.34%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -2.21%E -0.725%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 00:30
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.40%EV -10.05%E -5.24%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.83%EV -6.38%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 00:29
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.43%EV -15.68%E -8.71%K -19.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 00:29
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.43%EV -15.68%E -8.71%K -19.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 00:29
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.27%EV -1.93%E -0.414%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 00:30
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.16%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -2.98%E -0.648%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 00:30
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.35%EV -10.99%E -5.78%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -2.98%E -0.648%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 00:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -16.61%E -9.33%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -2.98%E -0.648%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 00:30
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.55%EV -18.49%E -10.62%K -24.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -2.98%E -0.648%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-17 00:30
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 00:30
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 00:30
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.75%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.56%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 00:29
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 00:29
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 00:29
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.90%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.77%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 00:30
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 00:30
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 00:30
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 00:30
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.39%EV -3.96%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.37%EV -6.14%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 00:28
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.64%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.20%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 00:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -8.67%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 00:30
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -8.67%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 00:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.20%EV -14.27%E -7.80%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.95%EV -8.67%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -15.68%E -5.96%K -9.62%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-17 00:29
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.40%EV -7.24%E -3.66%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -9.31%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.24%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 00:29
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -8.18%E -4.17%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -9.31%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 00:29
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.64%EV -9.12%E -4.70%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -9.31%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 00:30
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.42%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.53%E -3.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.20%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.41%EV -11.93%E -6.34%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.28%EV -13.53%E -3.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.31%EV -13.43%E -4.98%K -7.90%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-17 00:30
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 46.82%EV -12.86%E -6.92%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.50%EV -14.58%E -3.60%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-17 00:29
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.35%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.13%0.4%2026-04-17 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.85%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.63%0.5%2026-04-17 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%0.9%2026-04-17 00:30
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.65%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.72%1.9%2026-04-17 00:30