مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Peñarol Montevideo v Platense
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Peñarol Montevideo (المضيف)
التنبؤ 46.85%2.13السعر العادل
EV -3.96%
الأفضلية -1.93%
Kelly -3.77%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.05
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.42%47.17%46.78%50.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.741.921.922.0557.47%52.17%51.95%48.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Platense (الضيف)
التنبؤ 21.09%4.74السعر العادل
EV +7.57%
الأفضلية +1.48%
Kelly +1.85%
النمو +0.140%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.10
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.12%20.89%21.13%22.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.054.584.555.1024.69%21.86%21.98%19.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 32.06%3.12السعر العادل
EV +4.20%
الأفضلية +1.29%
Kelly +1.87%
النمو +0.078%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.94%31.94%32.09%32.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.632.932.913.2538.02%34.08%34.36%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (40 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.70%EV -9.59%E -4.97%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.19%EV +7.57%E +1.48%K +1.85%G +0.140% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +4.20%E +1.29%K +1.87%G +0.078% | 2.2% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.30%EV -6.77%E -3.40%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.34%EV +4.82%E +0.971%K +1.22%G +0.059% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.36%EV -4.78%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -12.40%E -6.63%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV +3.35%E +0.683%K +0.858%G +0.029% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV +0.994%E +0.316%K +0.462%G +0.005% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 00:23 |
| Unibet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.52%EV -12.86%E -6.92%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.18%EV +3.35%E +0.683%K +0.858%G +0.029% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -0.609%E -0.196%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -13.33%E -7.21%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +3.35%E +0.683%K +0.858%G +0.029% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -0.609%E -0.196%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -13.33%E -7.21%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +3.35%E +0.683%K +0.858%G +0.029% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -0.609%E -0.196%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.16%EV +2.93%E +0.600%K +0.754%G +0.022% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.90%EV -6.06%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| GTbets | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.47%EV -5.84%E -2.90%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 20.00%EV +2.71%E +0.557%K +0.702%G +0.019% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.53%EV -0.930%E -0.301%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -14.27%E -7.80%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV +1.24%E +0.258%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -0.609%E -0.196%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.01%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV +0.184%E +0.039%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.43%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 00:28 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -11.93%E -6.34%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -2.21%E -0.725%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.40%EV -10.05%E -5.24%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.83%EV -6.38%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.43%EV -15.68%E -8.71%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.43%EV -15.68%E -8.71%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -0.871%E -0.185%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.27%EV -1.93%E -0.414%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.16%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -2.98%E -0.648%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.35%EV -10.99%E -5.78%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -2.98%E -0.648%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -16.61%E -9.33%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -2.98%E -0.648%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.55%EV -18.49%E -10.62%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -2.98%E -0.648%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.75%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.56%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.90%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.77%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -5.09%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.39%EV -3.96%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.37%EV -6.14%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 00:28 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.64%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.20%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -8.67%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -8.67%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.20%EV -14.27%E -7.80%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.95%EV -8.67%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -15.68%E -5.96%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.40%EV -7.24%E -3.66%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -9.31%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.24%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -8.18%E -4.17%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -9.31%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.64%EV -9.12%E -4.70%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -9.31%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.42%EV -5.37%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.53%E -3.30%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.20%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.41%EV -11.93%E -6.34%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.28%EV -13.53%E -3.30%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.31%EV -13.43%E -4.98%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.82%EV -12.86%E -6.92%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.50%EV -14.58%E -3.60%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (4)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.35% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.85% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.63% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.65% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.72% | 1.9% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |