Language:English
Palmeiras-SP v Junior FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Palmeiras-SP (Local)
Prediction 77.10%1.30fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -11.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.20%77.12%77.04%79.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.211.201.2686.21%82.88%83.33%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Junior FC (Visit)
Prediction 7.59%13.18fair odd
EV +16.16%
Edge +1.06%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.182%
assuming max odds 15.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.16%7.71%7.46%10.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0012.4213.0015.3111.11%8.05%7.69%6.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.32%6.53fair odd
EV +7.22%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.087%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.57%15.17%15.50%17.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.006.096.007.0020.00%16.42%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Palmeiras-SP (Local): 77.10%; Junior FC (Visit): 7.59%; Draw: 15.32%. For Junior FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.18. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.91%EV -9.03%E -7.65%K -50.15%G +0.000% | 15.31I 6.53%NM 6.16%EV +16.16%E +1.06%K +1.13%G +0.182% | 6.77I 14.77%NM 13.93%EV +3.70%E +0.546%K +0.641%G +0.024% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.53%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.49%EV +13.81%E +0.920%K +0.986%G +0.136% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.98%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.53%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.49%EV +13.81%E +0.920%K +0.986%G +0.136% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.98%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.08%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +13.81%E +0.920%K +0.986%G +0.136% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 21:46 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.17%E -4.21%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.80%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 19:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.41%EV -8.26%E -6.94%K -43.45%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.57%E -9.11%K -66.06%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.57%E -9.11%K -66.06%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.57%E -9.11%K -66.06%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV +7.22%E +1.03%K +1.20%G +0.087% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -15.76%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.61%EV -9.03%E -7.65%K -50.15%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.95%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -15.76%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.66%EV -5.17%E -4.21%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.66%EV -5.17%E -4.21%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.68%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.70%EV +6.45%E +0.929%K +1.08%G +0.070% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV +1.09%E +0.166%K +0.195%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -9.63%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 21:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -9.63%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.08%EV -2.86%E -2.27%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 11.62I 8.61%NM 8.36%EV -11.84%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.56%EV +2.17%E +0.325%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 3.0% | 2026-05-28 20:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -8.26%E -6.94%K -43.45%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.93%EV -12.75%E -1.11%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -9.63%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-28 21:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.69%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -11.16%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.61%EV -9.80%E -8.37%K -57.64%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.94%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -23.41%E -4.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-28 20:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.50%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.68%EV -18.44%E -1.72%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.81%EV -3.50%E -0.556%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -24.13%E -2.41%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.26%EV -9.03%E -7.65%K -50.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.88%EV -24.13%E -2.41%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.86%EV -14.22%E -2.54%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -27.92%E -2.94%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-28 21:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-28 21:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.77%EV -8.26%E -6.94%K -43.45%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.34%EV -11.16%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.41% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.33% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.26% | 1.9% | 2026-05-28 21:40 |