La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Palmeiras-SP v Junior FC
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Palmeiras-SP (Casa)
Previsione 77.10%1.30quota equa
EV -2.86%
Vantaggio -2.27%
Kelly -11.00%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.26
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
74.20%77.12%77.04%79.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.161.211.201.2686.21%82.88%83.33%79.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Junior FC (Trasferta)
Previsione 7.59%13.18quota equa
EV +16.16%
Vantaggio +1.06%
Kelly +1.13%
Crescita +0.182%
ipotizzando la quota massima 15.31
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
6.16%7.71%7.46%10.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
9.0012.4213.0015.3111.11%8.05%7.69%6.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 15.32%6.53quota equa
EV +7.22%
Vantaggio +1.03%
Kelly +1.20%
Crescita +0.087%
ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.57%15.17%15.50%17.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.006.096.007.0020.00%16.42%16.67%14.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.91%EV -9.03%E -7.65%K -50.15%G +0.000% | 15.31I 6.53%NM 6.16%EV +16.16%E +1.06%K +1.13%G +0.182% | 6.77I 14.77%NM 13.93%EV +3.70%E +0.546%K +0.641%G +0.024% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.53%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.49%EV +13.81%E +0.920%K +0.986%G +0.136% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.98%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.53%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.49%EV +13.81%E +0.920%K +0.986%G +0.136% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.98%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.08%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +13.81%E +0.920%K +0.986%G +0.136% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 21:46 |
| Coolbet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.17%E -4.21%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.80%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 19:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Unibet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Casumo | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.41%EV -8.26%E -6.94%K -43.45%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.57%E -9.11%K -66.06%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.57%E -9.11%K -66.06%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.57%E -9.11%K -66.06%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV +7.22%E +1.03%K +1.20%G +0.087% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| William Hill | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -15.76%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.61%EV -9.03%E -7.65%K -50.15%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.95%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -15.76%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.66%EV -5.17%E -4.21%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.66%EV -5.17%E -4.21%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.68%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.70%EV +6.45%E +0.929%K +1.08%G +0.070% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| BetUS | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV +1.09%E +0.166%K +0.195%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -9.63%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 21:40 |
| Betsson | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -9.63%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.08%EV -2.86%E -2.27%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 11.62I 8.61%NM 8.36%EV -11.84%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.56%EV +2.17%E +0.325%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 3.0% | 2026-05-28 20:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -8.26%E -6.94%K -43.45%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.93%EV -12.75%E -1.11%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -9.63%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-28 21:44 |
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.69%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -11.16%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.61%EV -9.80%E -8.37%K -57.64%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.94%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -23.41%E -4.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-28 20:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.50%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.68%EV -18.44%E -1.72%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.81%EV -3.50%E -0.556%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -24.13%E -2.41%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.26%EV -9.03%E -7.65%K -50.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.88%EV -24.13%E -2.41%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.86%EV -14.22%E -2.54%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -27.92%E -2.94%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-28 21:10 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-28 21:00 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.77%EV -8.26%E -6.94%K -43.45%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.34%EV -11.16%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.41% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.33% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.26% | 1.9% | 2026-05-28 21:40 |