Die Schule der Quoten

Palmeiras-SP v Junior FC

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-28 22:00 UTC

Endstand: Palmeiras-SP 4–1 Junior FC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

44 Wettanbieter (13 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Palmeiras-SP (Heim)

Prognose 77.10%1.30faire Quote
EV -2.86%
Vorteil -2.27%
Kelly -11.00%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.26

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
74.20%77.12%77.04%79.91%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.161.211.201.2686.21%82.88%83.33%79.37%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Junior FC (Auswärts)

Prognose 7.59%13.18faire Quote
EV +16.16%
Vorteil +1.06%
Kelly +1.13%
Wachstum +0.182%

bei einer Höchstquote von 15.31

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
6.16%7.71%7.46%10.06%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
9.0012.4213.0015.3111.11%8.05%7.69%6.53%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 15.32%6.53faire Quote
EV +7.22%
Vorteil +1.03%
Kelly +1.20%
Wachstum +0.087%

bei einer Höchstquote von 7.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
13.57%15.17%15.50%17.46%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
5.006.096.007.0020.00%16.42%16.67%14.29%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (44 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 79.91%EV -9.03%E -7.65%K -50.15%G +0.000%15.31I 6.53%NM 6.16%EV +16.16%E +1.06%K +1.13%G +0.182%6.77I 14.77%NM 13.93%EV +3.70%E +0.546%K +0.641%G +0.024%6.0%2026-05-28 21:40
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 78.53%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.49%EV +13.81%E +0.920%K +0.986%G +0.136%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.98%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-28 21:09
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.53%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.49%EV +13.81%E +0.920%K +0.986%G +0.136%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.98%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-28 21:09
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 79.08%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +13.81%E +0.920%K +0.986%G +0.136%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 21:46
Coolbet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.17%E -4.21%K -22.49%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.80%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 19:59
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 21:50
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 21:49
Casumo1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 21:50
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 21:50
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 21:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.41%EV -8.26%E -6.94%K -43.45%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 21:09
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.57%E -9.11%K -66.06%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-28 21:49
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.57%E -9.11%K -66.06%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-28 21:49
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.57%E -9.11%K -66.06%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-28 21:50
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV +7.22%E +1.03%K +1.20%G +0.087%5.3%2026-05-28 21:39
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 21:09
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 21:09
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 21:39
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 21:39
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 21:39
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 21:39
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 21:49
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -15.76%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-28 21:49
Paddy Power1.18I 84.75%NM 76.61%EV -9.03%E -7.65%K -50.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.95%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -15.76%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-28 21:09
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.66%EV -5.17%E -4.21%K -22.49%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 21:09
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.66%EV -5.17%E -4.21%K -22.49%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 21:09
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.68%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.70%EV +6.45%E +0.929%K +1.08%G +0.070%5.0%2026-05-28 21:50
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV +1.09%E +0.166%K +0.195%G +0.002%5.1%2026-05-28 21:49
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -9.63%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 21:40
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -9.63%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 21:50
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.08%EV -2.86%E -2.27%K -11.00%G +0.000%11.62I 8.61%NM 8.36%EV -11.84%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.56%EV +2.17%E +0.325%K +0.382%G +0.008%3.0%2026-05-28 20:19
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -8.26%E -6.94%K -43.45%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.93%EV -12.75%E -1.11%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -9.63%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-28 21:44
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 21:50
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.69%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -11.16%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-28 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.61%EV -9.80%E -8.37%K -57.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.94%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -23.41%E -4.68%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-28 20:59
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.50%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.68%EV -18.44%E -1.72%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.81%EV -3.50%E -0.556%K -0.661%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 21:49
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -24.13%E -2.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 75.26%EV -9.03%E -7.65%K -50.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.88%EV -24.13%E -2.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.86%EV -14.22%E -2.54%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-28 21:49
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -27.92%E -2.94%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-28 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-28 21:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-28 21:10
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-28 21:00
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-28 21:09
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 74.77%EV -8.26%E -6.94%K -43.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.34%EV -11.16%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-28 21:49
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%0.7%2026-05-28 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%0.7%2026-05-28 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%0.7%2026-05-28 21:50
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 80.41%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.33%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.26%1.9%2026-05-28 21:40