مدرسة الاحتمالات

Palmeiras-SP v Junior FC

البداية: 2026-05-28 22:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Palmeiras-SP 4–1 Junior FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

44 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Palmeiras-SP (المضيف)

التنبؤ 77.10%1.30السعر العادل
EV -2.86%
الأفضلية -2.27%
Kelly -11.00%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.26

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
74.20%77.12%77.04%79.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.161.211.201.2686.21%82.88%83.33%79.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Junior FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 7.59%13.18السعر العادل
EV +16.16%
الأفضلية +1.06%
Kelly +1.13%
النمو +0.182%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 15.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
6.16%7.71%7.46%10.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
9.0012.4213.0015.3111.11%8.05%7.69%6.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 15.32%6.53السعر العادل
EV +7.22%
الأفضلية +1.03%
Kelly +1.20%
النمو +0.087%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.57%15.17%15.50%17.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.006.096.007.0020.00%16.42%16.67%14.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (44 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 79.91%EV -9.03%E -7.65%K -50.15%G +0.000%15.31I 6.53%NM 6.16%EV +16.16%E +1.06%K +1.13%G +0.182%6.77I 14.77%NM 13.93%EV +3.70%E +0.546%K +0.641%G +0.024%6.0%2026-05-28 21:40
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 78.53%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.49%EV +13.81%E +0.920%K +0.986%G +0.136%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.98%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-28 21:09
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.53%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.49%EV +13.81%E +0.920%K +0.986%G +0.136%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.98%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-28 21:09
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 79.08%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +13.81%E +0.920%K +0.986%G +0.136%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 21:46
Coolbet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.17%E -4.21%K -22.49%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.80%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 19:59
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 21:50
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 21:49
Casumo1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 21:50
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 21:50
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 21:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.41%EV -8.26%E -6.94%K -43.45%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 21:09
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.57%E -9.11%K -66.06%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-28 21:49
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.57%E -9.11%K -66.06%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-28 21:49
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.57%E -9.11%K -66.06%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-28 21:50
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV +7.22%E +1.03%K +1.20%G +0.087%5.3%2026-05-28 21:39
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 21:09
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 21:09
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 21:39
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 21:39
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 21:39
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 21:39
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 21:49
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -15.76%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-28 21:49
Paddy Power1.18I 84.75%NM 76.61%EV -9.03%E -7.65%K -50.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.95%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -15.76%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-28 21:09
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.66%EV -5.17%E -4.21%K -22.49%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 21:09
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.66%EV -5.17%E -4.21%K -22.49%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 21:09
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.68%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.70%EV +6.45%E +0.929%K +1.08%G +0.070%5.0%2026-05-28 21:50
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV +1.09%E +0.166%K +0.195%G +0.002%5.1%2026-05-28 21:49
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -9.63%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 21:40
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -9.63%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 21:50
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.08%EV -2.86%E -2.27%K -11.00%G +0.000%11.62I 8.61%NM 8.36%EV -11.84%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.56%EV +2.17%E +0.325%K +0.382%G +0.008%3.0%2026-05-28 20:19
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -8.26%E -6.94%K -43.45%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.93%EV -12.75%E -1.11%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -9.63%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-28 21:44
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 21:50
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.69%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -11.16%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-28 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.61%EV -9.80%E -8.37%K -57.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.94%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -23.41%E -4.68%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-28 20:59
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.50%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.68%EV -18.44%E -1.72%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.81%EV -3.50%E -0.556%K -0.661%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 21:49
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -24.13%E -2.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 75.26%EV -9.03%E -7.65%K -50.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.88%EV -24.13%E -2.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.86%EV -14.22%E -2.54%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-28 21:49
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -27.92%E -2.94%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-28 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-28 21:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-28 21:10
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-28 21:00
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-28 21:09
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 74.77%EV -8.26%E -6.94%K -43.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.34%EV -11.16%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-28 21:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%0.7%2026-05-28 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%0.7%2026-05-28 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%0.7%2026-05-28 21:50
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 80.41%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.33%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.26%1.9%2026-05-28 21:40