StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Palmeiras-SP v Junior FC

Matchstart: 2026-05-28 22:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Palmeiras-SP 4–1 Junior FC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

44 spelbolag (13 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Palmeiras-SP (Hemma)

Prognos 77.10%1.30rättvist odds
EV -2.86%
Fördel -2.27%
Kelly -11.00%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.26

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
74.20%77.12%77.04%79.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.161.211.201.2686.21%82.88%83.33%79.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Junior FC (Borta)

Prognos 7.59%13.18rättvist odds
EV +16.16%
Fördel +1.06%
Kelly +1.13%
Tillväxt +0.182%

med antagandet om högsta odds 15.31

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
6.16%7.71%7.46%10.06%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
9.0012.4213.0015.3111.11%8.05%7.69%6.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 15.32%6.53rättvist odds
EV +7.22%
Fördel +1.03%
Kelly +1.20%
Tillväxt +0.087%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
13.57%15.17%15.50%17.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.006.096.007.0020.00%16.42%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Palmeiras-SP (Hemma): 77.10%; Junior FC (Borta): 7.59%; Oavgjort: 15.32%. För Junior FC (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 13.18. 14 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 15.31, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +16.16%.

Spelbolagsodds (44 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.91%EV -9.03%E -7.65%K -50.15%G +0.000%15.31I 6.53%NM 6.16%EV +16.16%E +1.06%K +1.13%G +0.182%6.77I 14.77%NM 13.93%EV +3.70%E +0.546%K +0.641%G +0.024%6.0%2026-05-28 21:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.53%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.49%EV +13.81%E +0.920%K +0.986%G +0.136%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.98%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-28 21:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.53%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.49%EV +13.81%E +0.920%K +0.986%G +0.136%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.98%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-28 21:09
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.08%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +13.81%E +0.920%K +0.986%G +0.136%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 21:46
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.17%E -4.21%K -22.49%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.80%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 19:59
Grosvenor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 21:50
Unibet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 21:49
Casumo🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 21:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 21:50
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 21:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.41%EV -8.26%E -6.94%K -43.45%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 21:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.57%E -9.11%K -66.06%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-28 21:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.57%E -9.11%K -66.06%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-28 21:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.57%E -9.11%K -66.06%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-28 21:50
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV +7.22%E +1.03%K +1.20%G +0.087%5.3%2026-05-28 21:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 21:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 21:09
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 21:39
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 21:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 21:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 21:39
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 21:49
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -15.76%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-28 21:49
Paddy Power🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.61%EV -9.03%E -7.65%K -50.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.95%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -15.76%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-28 21:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.66%EV -5.17%E -4.21%K -22.49%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 21:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.66%EV -5.17%E -4.21%K -22.49%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 21:09
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.68%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.70%EV +6.45%E +0.929%K +1.08%G +0.070%5.0%2026-05-28 21:50
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV +1.09%E +0.166%K +0.195%G +0.002%5.1%2026-05-28 21:49
NordicBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -9.63%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 21:40
Betsson🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -9.63%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 21:50
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.08%EV -2.86%E -2.27%K -11.00%G +0.000%11.62I 8.61%NM 8.36%EV -11.84%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.56%EV +2.17%E +0.325%K +0.382%G +0.008%3.0%2026-05-28 20:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -8.26%E -6.94%K -43.45%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.93%EV -12.75%E -1.11%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -9.63%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-28 21:44
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 21:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.69%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -11.16%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-28 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 74.61%EV -9.80%E -8.37%K -57.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.94%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -23.41%E -4.68%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-28 20:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.50%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.68%EV -18.44%E -1.72%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.81%EV -3.50%E -0.556%K -0.661%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 21:49
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -24.13%E -2.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.26%EV -9.03%E -7.65%K -50.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.88%EV -24.13%E -2.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.86%EV -14.22%E -2.54%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-28 21:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -27.92%E -2.94%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-28 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-28 21:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-28 21:10
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-28 21:00
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-28 21:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.77%EV -8.26%E -6.94%K -43.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.34%EV -11.16%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-28 21:49
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%0.7%2026-05-28 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%0.7%2026-05-28 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%0.7%2026-05-28 21:50
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 80.41%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.33%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.26%1.9%2026-05-28 21:40