La escuela de los momiosPalmeiras-SP v Junior FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Palmeiras-SP (Local)
Predicción 77.10%1.30momio equitativo
EV -2.86%
Ventaja -2.27%
Kelly -11.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.20%77.12%77.04%79.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.211.201.2686.21%82.88%83.33%79.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Junior FC (Visitante)
Predicción 7.59%13.18momio equitativo
EV +16.16%
Ventaja +1.06%
Kelly +1.13%
Crecimiento +0.182%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 15.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.16%7.71%7.46%10.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
9.0012.4213.0015.3111.11%8.05%7.69%6.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 15.32%6.53momio equitativo
EV +7.22%
Ventaja +1.03%
Kelly +1.20%
Crecimiento +0.087%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.57%15.17%15.50%17.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.006.096.007.0020.00%16.42%16.67%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.91%EV -9.03%E -7.65%K -50.15%G +0.000% | 15.31I 6.53%NM 6.16%EV +16.16%E +1.06%K +1.13%G +0.182% | 6.77I 14.77%NM 13.93%EV +3.70%E +0.546%K +0.641%G +0.024% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.53%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.49%EV +13.81%E +0.920%K +0.986%G +0.136% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.98%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.53%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.49%EV +13.81%E +0.920%K +0.986%G +0.136% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.98%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.08%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +13.81%E +0.920%K +0.986%G +0.136% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 21:46 |
| Coolbet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.17%E -4.21%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.80%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 19:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Unibet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Casumo | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.41%EV -8.26%E -6.94%K -43.45%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.57%E -9.11%K -66.06%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.57%E -9.11%K -66.06%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.57%E -9.11%K -66.06%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV +7.22%E +1.03%K +1.20%G +0.087% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| William Hill | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -15.76%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.61%EV -9.03%E -7.65%K -50.15%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.95%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -15.76%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.66%EV -5.17%E -4.21%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.66%EV -5.17%E -4.21%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.68%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.70%EV +6.45%E +0.929%K +1.08%G +0.070% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| BetUS | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV +1.09%E +0.166%K +0.195%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -9.63%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 21:40 |
| Betsson | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -9.63%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.08%EV -2.86%E -2.27%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 11.62I 8.61%NM 8.36%EV -11.84%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.56%EV +2.17%E +0.325%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 3.0% | 2026-05-28 20:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -8.26%E -6.94%K -43.45%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.93%EV -12.75%E -1.11%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -9.63%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-28 21:44 |
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.69%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -11.16%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.61%EV -9.80%E -8.37%K -57.64%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.94%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -23.41%E -4.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-28 20:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.50%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.68%EV -18.44%E -1.72%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.81%EV -3.50%E -0.556%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -24.13%E -2.41%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.26%EV -9.03%E -7.65%K -50.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.88%EV -24.13%E -2.41%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.86%EV -14.22%E -2.54%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -27.92%E -2.94%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-28 21:10 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-28 21:00 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.77%EV -8.26%E -6.94%K -43.45%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.34%EV -11.16%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.41% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.33% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.26% | 1.9% | 2026-05-28 21:40 |