L’École des cotesPalmeiras-SP v Junior FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Palmeiras-SP (Local)
Prévision 77.10%1.30cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -2.27%
Kelly -11.00%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.26
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.20%77.12%77.04%79.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.161.211.201.2686.21%82.88%83.33%79.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Junior FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 7.59%13.18cote équitable
EV +16.16%
Avantage +1.06%
Kelly +1.13%
Croissance +0.182%
avec la cote maximale 15.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.16%7.71%7.46%10.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.0012.4213.0015.3111.11%8.05%7.69%6.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 15.32%6.53cote équitable
EV +7.22%
Avantage +1.03%
Kelly +1.20%
Croissance +0.087%
avec la cote maximale 7.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.57%15.17%15.50%17.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.006.096.007.0020.00%16.42%16.67%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.91%EV -9.03%E -7.65%K -50.15%G +0.000% | 15.31I 6.53%NM 6.16%EV +16.16%E +1.06%K +1.13%G +0.182% | 6.77I 14.77%NM 13.93%EV +3.70%E +0.546%K +0.641%G +0.024% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.53%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.49%EV +13.81%E +0.920%K +0.986%G +0.136% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.98%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.53%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.49%EV +13.81%E +0.920%K +0.986%G +0.136% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.98%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.08%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +13.81%E +0.920%K +0.986%G +0.136% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 21:46 |
| Coolbet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.17%E -4.21%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.80%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 19:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Unibet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Casumo | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.41%EV -8.26%E -6.94%K -43.45%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -4.27%E -0.683%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.57%E -9.11%K -66.06%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.57%E -9.11%K -66.06%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.57%E -9.11%K -66.06%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV +6.22%E +0.444%K +0.478%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV +7.22%E +1.03%K +1.20%G +0.087% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| William Hill | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -15.76%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.61%EV -9.03%E -7.65%K -50.15%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.95%EV -1.37%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -15.76%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.66%EV -5.17%E -4.21%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.66%EV -5.17%E -4.21%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.68%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.70%EV +6.45%E +0.929%K +1.08%G +0.070% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| BetUS | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV +1.09%E +0.166%K +0.195%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -9.63%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 21:40 |
| Betsson | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.81%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -5.16%E -0.413%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -9.63%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.08%EV -2.86%E -2.27%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 11.62I 8.61%NM 8.36%EV -11.84%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.56%EV +2.17%E +0.325%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 3.0% | 2026-05-28 20:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -8.26%E -6.94%K -43.45%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.93%EV -12.75%E -1.11%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -9.63%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-28 21:44 |
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -0.438%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.69%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -11.16%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.61%EV -9.80%E -8.37%K -57.64%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.94%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -23.41%E -4.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-28 20:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.50%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.68%EV -18.44%E -1.72%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.81%EV -3.50%E -0.556%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -24.13%E -2.41%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.26%EV -9.03%E -7.65%K -50.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.88%EV -24.13%E -2.41%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.86%EV -14.22%E -2.54%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -27.92%E -2.94%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -8.10%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-28 21:10 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-28 21:00 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.93%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-28 21:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.77%EV -8.26%E -6.94%K -43.45%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -31.72%E -3.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.34%EV -11.16%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.41% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.33% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.26% | 1.9% | 2026-05-28 21:40 |