預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Toluca v León

開賽時間: 2026-09-03 01:11 UTC

最終賽果: Toluca 2–0 León

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

45 家博彩公司 (15 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Toluca (主隊)

預測 56.53%1.77公平賠率
EV -1.63%
優勢 -0.939%
Kelly -2.21%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.74

博彩公司預測分布
53.34%56.27%56.47%58.99%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.541.671.671.7464.94%59.91%59.88%57.47%最小值平均值中位數最大值

León (客隊)

預測 19.72%5.07公平賠率
EV +10.45%
優勢 +1.87%
Kelly +2.27%
成長率 +0.238%

假設最高賠率為 5.60

博彩公司預測分布
16.96%19.95%19.68%21.98%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.004.554.505.6025.00%21.99%22.22%17.86%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 23.74%4.21公平賠率
EV -1.22%
優勢 -0.294%
Kelly -0.387%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.16

博彩公司預測分布
22.83%23.78%23.86%25.45%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.503.853.854.1628.57%25.95%25.97%24.04%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Toluca (主隊):56.53%;León (客隊):19.72%;和局:23.74%。 對於「León (客隊)」,該估計相當於5.07的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為5.60,對應+10.45%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (45 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.99%EV -8.98%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV +10.45%E +1.87%K +2.27%G +0.238%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.21%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 00:50
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.07%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.90%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.03%EV -1.22%E -0.294%K -0.387%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.83%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.90%EV -0.395%E -0.078%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -2.65%E -0.646%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.83%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.90%EV -0.395%E -0.078%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -2.65%E -0.646%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 00:55
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -1.38%E -0.276%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.65%E -0.646%K -0.854%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 01:10
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -1.38%E -0.276%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.65%E -0.646%K -0.854%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 01:01
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.38%E -0.276%K -0.345%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.12%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 00:59
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -3.35%E -0.684%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -6.21%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-03 00:55
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -3.35%E -0.684%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -6.21%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-03 00:55
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.65%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.33%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.77%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 00:53
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -5.33%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 00:45
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -11.24%E -7.16%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -5.33%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 00:53
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -11.24%E -7.16%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -5.33%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 00:55
Coolbet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -6.31%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 00:49
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -7.30%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 00:50
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.30%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 00:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -9.27%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 00:45
ReBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.65%EV -10.26%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 01:10
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 01:10
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -9.77%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 00:45
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 00:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 00:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 00:59
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 55.99%EV -12.94%E -8.40%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.38%EV -12.23%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -16.90%E -4.83%K -6.76%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-03 01:10
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -14.60%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -9.77%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 01:09
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.70%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -16.17%E -3.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -9.77%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 01:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -16.17%E -3.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.96%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 00:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.23%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -17.16%E -4.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -12.15%E -3.28%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 01:10
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -17.16%E -4.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-03 01:10
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -17.16%E -4.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.90%E -4.83%K -6.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 01:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -7.29%E -4.44%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -21.11%E -5.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-03 01:10
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 56.94%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.34%2.7%2026-09-03 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.08%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.1%2026-09-03 01:10
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 56.78%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%5.5%2026-09-03 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 58.23%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10