语言:简体中文
Toluca v León
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Toluca (主队)
预测 56.53%1.77公平赔率
EV -1.63%
优势 -0.939%
Kelly -2.21%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.74
博彩公司预测分布
53.34%56.27%56.47%58.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.541.671.671.7464.94%59.91%59.88%57.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
León (客队)
预测 19.72%5.07公平赔率
EV +10.45%
优势 +1.87%
Kelly +2.27%
增长率 +0.238%
假设最高赔率为 5.60
博彩公司预测分布
16.96%19.95%19.68%21.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.554.505.6025.00%21.99%22.22%17.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 23.74%4.21公平赔率
EV -1.22%
优势 -0.294%
Kelly -0.387%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.16
博彩公司预测分布
22.83%23.78%23.86%25.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.853.854.1628.57%25.95%25.97%24.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Toluca (主队)：56.53%；León (客队)：19.72%；平局：23.74%。 对于“León (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.07。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.60，对应+10.45%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.99%EV -8.98%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV +10.45%E +1.87%K +2.27%G +0.238% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.21%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 00:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.07%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.90%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.03%EV -1.22%E -0.294%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.83%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.90%EV -0.395%E -0.078%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -2.65%E -0.646%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.83%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.90%EV -0.395%E -0.078%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -2.65%E -0.646%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 00:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -1.38%E -0.276%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.65%E -0.646%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -1.38%E -0.276%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.65%E -0.646%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 01:01 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.38%E -0.276%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.12%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 00:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -3.35%E -0.684%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -6.21%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-03 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -3.35%E -0.684%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -6.21%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-03 00:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.65%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.33%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.77%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 00:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -5.33%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 00:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -11.24%E -7.16%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -5.33%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-03 00:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -11.24%E -7.16%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -5.33%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-03 00:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -6.31%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 00:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -7.30%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 00:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.30%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 00:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -9.27%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-03 00:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.65%EV -10.26%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -9.77%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-03 00:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-03 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-03 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-03 00:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 55.99%EV -12.94%E -8.40%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.38%EV -12.23%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -16.90%E -4.83%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -14.60%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -9.77%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-03 01:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.70%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -16.17%E -3.81%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -9.77%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -16.17%E -3.81%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.96%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 00:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.23%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -17.16%E -4.09%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -12.15%E -3.28%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -17.16%E -4.09%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -17.16%E -4.09%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.90%E -4.83%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-03 01:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -7.29%E -4.44%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -21.11%E -5.28%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.94% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.72% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.34% | 2.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.08% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.78% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.59% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.23% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |