Langue:Français
Toluca v León
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Toluca (Local)
Prévision 56.53%1.77cote équitable
EV -1.63%
Avantage -0.939%
Kelly -2.21%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.74
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.34%56.27%56.47%58.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.541.671.671.7464.94%59.91%59.88%57.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
León (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.72%5.07cote équitable
EV +10.45%
Avantage +1.87%
Kelly +2.27%
Croissance +0.238%
avec la cote maximale 5.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.96%19.95%19.68%21.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.554.505.6025.00%21.99%22.22%17.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 23.74%4.21cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.294%
Kelly -0.387%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.16
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.83%23.78%23.86%25.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.853.854.1628.57%25.95%25.97%24.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Toluca (Local) : 56.53% ; León (Visiteur) : 19.72% ; Match nul : 23.74%. Pour León (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.07. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.60, soit une espérance positive de +10.45%.
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.99%EV -8.98%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV +10.45%E +1.87%K +2.27%G +0.238% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.21%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 00:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.07%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.90%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.03%EV -1.22%E -0.294%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.83%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.90%EV -0.395%E -0.078%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -2.65%E -0.646%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.83%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.90%EV -0.395%E -0.078%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -2.65%E -0.646%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 00:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -1.38%E -0.276%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.65%E -0.646%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -1.38%E -0.276%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.65%E -0.646%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 01:01 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.38%E -0.276%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.12%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 00:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -3.35%E -0.684%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -6.21%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-03 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -3.35%E -0.684%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -6.21%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-03 00:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.65%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.33%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.77%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 00:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -5.33%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 00:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -11.24%E -7.16%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -5.33%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-03 00:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -11.24%E -7.16%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -5.33%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-03 00:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -6.31%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 00:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -7.30%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 00:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.30%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 00:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -9.27%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-03 00:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.65%EV -10.26%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -9.77%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-03 00:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-03 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-03 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-03 00:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 55.99%EV -12.94%E -8.40%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.38%EV -12.23%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -16.90%E -4.83%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -14.60%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -9.77%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-03 01:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.70%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -16.17%E -3.81%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -9.77%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -16.17%E -3.81%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.96%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 00:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.23%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -17.16%E -4.09%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -12.15%E -3.28%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -17.16%E -4.09%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -17.16%E -4.09%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.90%E -4.83%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-03 01:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -7.29%E -4.44%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -21.11%E -5.28%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.94% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.72% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.34% | 2.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.08% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.78% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.59% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.23% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |